Stocks · resolved market
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $450–475 in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e3fb790bb9064b532caa79754ddd4ba833ae346e729ff3cf4f31b2ffb004078
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 20c | 2,646$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.5 | 812 | 40.3%327 W · 485 L | +37.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x294d…b362backed Yes | 30c | 1,953$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.58 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked Yes | 40c | 1,687$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.82 | 351 | 51.6%181 W · 170 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 23c | 848.95$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.3 | 565 | 48.7%275 W · 290 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed57…99a3backed Yes | 71c | 829.36$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa78…f40bbacked Yes | 44c | 817.19$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.3 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 69c | 750.73$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.11 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c4…0216backed No | 79c | 728.37$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.4 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e3…fd17backed Yes | 70c | 709.89$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed Yes | 17c | 500.35$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 79c | 474.86$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.04 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb460…041fbacked Yes | 23c | 444.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb2…c640backed No | 46c | 444.14$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.14 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…5aacbacked Yes | 27c | 432.07$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.12 | 1,326 | 46.9%622 W · 704 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc5…08dbbacked No | 65c | 427.69$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed Yes | 36c | 419.92$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.31 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 17c | 404$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.69 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 28c | 359.83$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 1,444 | 8.8%127 W · 1,317 L | -53.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…dcccbacked No | 15c | 353.8$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.73 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x573c…1b61backed No | 76c | 342.35$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 15c | 334.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 150 | 5.3%8 W · 142 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa53e…f9f6backed Yes | 65c | 312.49$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.98 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e54…6631backed No | 74c | 309.77$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Yes | 58c | 292.36$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 482 | 34%164 W · 318 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 31c | 291.38$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.86 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 23c | 290.73$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed Yes | 20c | 287.67$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 990 | 38%376 W · 614 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…570cbacked Yes | 52c | 284.35$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed No | 72c | 280.48$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.54 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb61d…f87cbacked No | 73c | 251.81$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 19c | 249.44$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.18 | 90 | 26.7%24 W · 66 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x622f…9992backed Yes | 72c | 227.04$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.47 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 438 | 38.8%170 W · 268 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ce…db56backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d65…beb4backed Yes | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…9837backed Yes | 27c | 175.69$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 58c | 171.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.59 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -22.2wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb15b…5215backed Yes | 54c | 170.71$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb933…fb0abacked Yes | 19c | 166.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +176.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc22…4557backed Yes | 70c | 153.89$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4c…ea0cbacked No | 24c | 153.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.88 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x336f…c31ebacked Yes | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 31c | 150$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fab…f54abacked Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0787…45f6backed Yes | 16c | 141.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5793…6977backed Yes | 22c | 138.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 29c | 128.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -16.7wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01f8…7abdbacked Yes | 32c | 128.81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5d…2ad5backed Yes | 61c | 122.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b56…d1e1backed Yes | 62c | 117.4$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 70c | 115.67$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.29 | 75 | 77.3%58 W · 17 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9000…bb78backed Yes | 22c | 113.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…5692backed Yes | 33c | 112.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…7652backed Yes | 15c | 104$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e3…8fa1backed Yes | 30c | 100.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…a764backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +539.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 21c | 98.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +168.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 18c | 90$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 70c | 74.46$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x194a…7005backed Yes | 31c | 73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc1…5216backed No | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbf…5304backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6991…b08abacked Yes | 22c | 63.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6985…afdfbacked Yes | 59c | 61.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 62c | 59.38$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…6510backed Yes | 50c | 58.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacc2…c707backed Yes | 35c | 57.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…82cebacked Yes | 28c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5480…51f3backed Yes | 21c | 52.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…325bbacked Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…eb35backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…d89dbacked Yes | 59c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3121…dec8backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…23bfbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…5bc1backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked No | 74c | 49.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…02adbacked Yes | 26c | 48.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b72…124fbacked Yes | 27c | 42.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed Yes | 35c | 40.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb360…d73ebacked Yes | 30c | 37.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +127.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef06…a203backed No | 72c | 28.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…acd7backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 74c | 16.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 863 | 38.1%329 W · 534 L | -43.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc90f…0d49backed No | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $450–475 in 2025?this page
- Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $300–325 in 2025?No won
- Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $325–350 in 2025?No won
- Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $350–375 in 2025?No won
- Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $375–400 in 2025?No won
- Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $400–425 in 2025?No won
- Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $425–450 in 2025?Yes won
- Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $475–500 in 2025?No won
- Will Tesla (TSLA) close at <$300 in 2025?No won
- Will Tesla (TSLA) close at >$500 in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.