Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2637ee58d82670126d380b8b2f442538757e0b3c715211d30cc57be78e1e619

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 28, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $616,508
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $612,479

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $616,508 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 710 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7579…94c6backed No	57c	20,635$11,804 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,804.29	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+1.8wins	+0.11per pick	64cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed Yes	79c	13,330$10,514 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,815.98	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2246…3ce3backed Yes	28c	12,775$3,628 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,146.62	121	18.2%22 W · 99 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4e9…f380backed No	60c	10,889$6,567 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,566.56	176	31.8%56 W · 120 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	32c	7,543$2,387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,155.89	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	36c	6,901$2,458 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,443.55	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7d…5913backed Yes	51c	6,754$3,456 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,297.34	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	33c	6,274$2,065 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,209.41	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	35c	6,108$2,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,948.22	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d55…cd90backed No	0c	6,100$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	50	20%10 W · 40 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked No	0c	6,066$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.65	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed No	23c	5,807$1,335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,334.94	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	25c	5,781$1,445 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,335.94	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	36c	5,633$2,024 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,609.48	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe144…487fbacked Yes	36c	5,425$1,966 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,459.25	104	21.2%22 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed5…72a6backed No	3c	5,400$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146	124	29%36 W · 88 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+110.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	70c	5,275$3,694 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,693.59	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7500…12bdbacked Yes	19c	4,887$919 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,968.23	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30e2…77e1backed Yes	56c	4,858$2,716 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,142.49	86	30.2%26 W · 60 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	21c	4,847$1,036 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,810.86	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked No	49c	4,612$2,245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,244.57	62	16.1%10 W · 52 L	-4.7wins	-0.08per pick	24cpaid	-66.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	43c	4,483$1,928 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,555.18	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	32c	4,455$1,434 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,020.88	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed No	64c	3,933$2,509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,509.23	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92b4…3cf1backed No	1c	3,500$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed No	38c	3,484$1,311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,310.72	138	15.9%22 W · 116 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd187…c76cbacked Yes	18c	3,379$605 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,774.31	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9188…372ebacked Yes	41c	3,214$1,317 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,896.74	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	25cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacbc…7cc3backed No	65c	3,063$1,979 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,979.17	115	12.2%14 W · 101 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc78b…2ca5backed Yes	47c	2,801$1,321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,479.87	101	25.7%26 W · 75 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	41c	2,707$1,121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,585.93	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes	24c	2,703$647 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,056.06	325	29.2%95 W · 230 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes	43c	2,602$1,110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,492.61	187	26.7%50 W · 137 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9c…2ec7backed No	35c	2,460$863 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$863.33	142	19.7%28 W · 114 L	-11.6wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-46%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x731a…9062backed Yes	24c	2,369$569 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,800.38	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	18c	2,321$413 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,908.39	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	58c	2,300$1,328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,327.98	248	73%181 W · 67 L	+15.9wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	42c	2,279$968 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,311.66	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	54c	2,193$1,176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,016.44	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	23c	2,158$506 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,651.3	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	45c	2,100$943 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,157	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8007…a8f4backed Yes	65c	2,059$1,338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$721.5	156	49.4%77 W · 79 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a67…00f7backed Yes	53c	2,016$1,071 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$944.48	66	34.8%23 W · 43 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+57%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98aa…8b8fbacked No	78c	2,015$1,569 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,569.21	94	16%15 W · 79 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc507…6054backed Yes	36c	2,000$720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,280	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	+2.9wins	+0.10per pick	24cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7354…430fbacked No	65c	2,000$1,292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,291.94	188	77.1%145 W · 43 L	+12.3wins	+0.07per pick	71cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	22c	1,994$440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,554.31	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa845…563ebacked Yes	64c	1,958$1,247 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$711.42	54	33.3%18 W · 36 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes	17c	1,957$328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,629.38	144	13.9%20 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…ae13backed Yes	35c	1,856$655 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,200.8	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2bc…79d1backed Yes	55c	1,816$993 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$823.32	70	10%7 W · 63 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-48%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	75c	1,731$1,296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,296.33	518	45.9%238 W · 280 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No	7c	1,728$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.27	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	38c	1,689$642 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,046.19	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcbe…b37cbacked Yes	42c	1,668$694 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$973.7	74	32.4%24 W · 50 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0295…ed9dbacked Yes	66c	1,658$1,088 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$569.92	40	35%14 W · 26 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21d3…8d3fbacked No	70c	1,643$1,146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,146.19	65	40%26 W · 39 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	39c	1,566$611 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$954.77	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf21…18debacked Yes	44c	1,519$661 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$857.86	173	24.3%42 W · 131 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b19…ca35backed Yes	24c	1,504$357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,146.83	61	29.5%18 W · 43 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa471…8b84backed Yes	23c	1,494$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,157.7	114	24.6%28 W · 86 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	-2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	23c	1,491$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,151.15	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86ff…7bfdbacked Yes	32c	1,474$477 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$996.63	85	28.2%24 W · 61 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9057…c12cbacked No	4c	1,400$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	124	24.2%30 W · 94 L	+11.3wins	+0.09per pick	15cpaid	+100.4%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x42ed…5ebabacked Yes	27c	1,386$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,006.2	46	15.2%7 W · 39 L	-5.2wins	-0.11per pick	27cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9c4c…e62fbacked Yes	67c	1,353$913 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$439.88	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea1e…2858backed Yes	51c	1,351$687 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$663.63	117	29.1%34 W · 83 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	12c	1,310$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,158.88	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e0…44e0backed Yes	54c	1,306$701 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$605.07	46	15.2%7 W · 39 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x387c…2423backed Yes	74c	1,300$962 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$338.58	176	28.4%50 W · 126 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x670d…ff9bbacked Yes	29c	1,255$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$894.88	57	17.5%10 W · 47 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+38.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked No	48c	1,238$589 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$588.64	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddab…505ebacked Yes	24c	1,221$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$932.32	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fb…dad8backed Yes	39c	1,220$473 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$747.54	123	32.5%40 W · 83 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Yes	25c	1,216$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$911.75	178	24.7%44 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked No	60c	1,162$701 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$701.31	625	39.5%247 W · 378 L	+48.1wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x64a3…450abacked No	70c	1,100$771 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$770.97	50	68%34 W · 16 L	+6.0wins	+0.12per pick	56cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x201a…66a8backed Yes	38c	1,063$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$663.01	201	29.4%59 W · 142 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x47f3…e493backed Yes	48c	1,027$491 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$536.26	97	26.8%26 W · 71 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e07…36a9backed Yes	32c	1,004$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$684.23	95	11.6%11 W · 84 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked No	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	50	30%15 W · 35 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeec6…4558backed Yes	55c	1,000$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450	27	37%10 W · 17 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e78…03c7backed Yes	72c	998.37$714 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$284.08	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	66c	995.56$659 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336.53	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes	23c	983.14$227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$756.07	160	23.1%37 W · 123 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5d9…be50backed Yes	76c	980.75$745 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.38	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11d1…0b41backed Yes	18c	978.29$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$798.62	76	10.5%8 W · 68 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c7e…3b66backed Yes	36c	965.32$348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$617.62	25	32%8 W · 17 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	26cpaid	+48.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd969…b9b9backed Yes	25c	962.82$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$721.42	127	20.5%26 W · 101 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7141…8345backed Yes	60c	955.9$574 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$382.36	151	36.4%55 W · 96 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x620d…9f02backed Yes	27c	934.14$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$685.83	58	24.1%14 W · 44 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1db9…a43bbacked Yes	39c	924.31$364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$560.69	238	19.3%46 W · 192 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-25%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2311…99ecbacked Yes	33c	910.92$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$611.04	49	24.5%12 W · 37 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed No	73c	869.65$633 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$632.69	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65ab…273dbacked Yes	78c	867.79$677 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.8	204	32.4%66 W · 138 L	-11.3wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2785…2dddbacked Yes	46c	837.21$385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$452.09	30	30%9 W · 21 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfeb4…98c3backed No	17c	817.46$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.4	24	8.3%2 W · 22 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-84.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Yes	39c	816.11$318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$497.83	42	31%13 W · 29 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	+124%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86df…f4cfbacked Yes	14c	796.72$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$683.26	124	16.9%21 W · 103 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa323…e0eebacked Yes	32c	794.82$251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$544.27	60	15%9 W · 51 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event