Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf65af6bd5453bfec3a177ef05222fa41dd2295f63d22022b4839f311d879a650

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $835,712
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $493,313

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $835,712 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x849c…4009backed Yes	4c	36,330$1,364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,363.66	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	3c	26,713$810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$809.66	350	24%84 W · 266 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	2c	17,151$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.82	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x832d…6ec5backed Yes	0c	16,150$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.3	117	7.7%9 W · 108 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	5c	14,260$676 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$675.66	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	0c	12,464$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.65	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4e9…f380backed Yes	14c	12,025$1,629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,629.4	176	31.8%56 W · 120 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	9c	11,737$1,004 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,003.68	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	3c	11,266$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.61	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	9c	10,396$894 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$893.93	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	9,120$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.47	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	8c	8,775$715 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$714.85	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	3c	7,443$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.34	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	16c	7,197$1,175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,174.86	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	7c	7,147$514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$514.24	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f00…487fbacked Yes	5c	6,802$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.87	280	16.4%46 W · 234 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfca…645abacked Yes	6c	6,697$426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426.21	278	20.9%58 W · 220 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7141…8345backed Yes	4c	6,576$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.52	151	36.4%55 W · 96 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa4d…57b9backed Yes	0c	6,500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	111	11.7%13 W · 98 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	+93.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	8c	6,164$466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465.7	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5ca…46c8backed Yes	3c	5,905$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.38	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	5cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33d4…c167backed Yes	5c	5,688$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.53	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	6c	5,195$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.04	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	3c	5,078$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.56	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd58d…cb8abacked Yes	5c	4,958$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.66	64	18.8%12 W · 52 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes	5c	4,934$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.08	303	17.2%52 W · 251 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3cc…185cbacked Yes	4c	4,484$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.52	66	24.2%16 W · 50 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	19cpaid	+46.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	2c	3,940$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.49	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	7c	3,817$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.5	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa845…563ebacked Yes	7c	3,741$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.43	54	33.3%18 W · 36 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2246…3ce3backed Yes	17c	3,713$627 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$627.31	121	18.2%22 W · 99 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes	5c	3,192$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.22	303	10.9%33 W · 270 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	2c	3,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a4…d091backed Yes	4c	2,839$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.05	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+254.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	5c	2,800$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	11c	2,679$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.87	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	7c	2,664$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.53	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Yes	7c	2,618$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.26	62	16.1%10 W · 52 L	-4.7wins	-0.08per pick	24cpaid	-66.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	3c	2,591$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.97	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	4c	2,591$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.13	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	6c	2,567$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.45	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	5c	2,552$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.1	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes	6c	2,478$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.93	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9188…372ebacked Yes	6c	2,403$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.73	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	25cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes	1c	2,400$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	62	6.5%4 W · 58 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	12cpaid	+139.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	6c	2,381$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.62	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	8c	2,372$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.29	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes	3c	2,300$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	292	27.7%81 W · 211 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	7c	2,278$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.57	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bc7…867bbacked Yes	1c	2,185$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.44	61	13.1%8 W · 53 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed Yes	10c	2,068$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.53	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x879d…b501backed Yes	2c	2,040$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.51	93	15.1%14 W · 79 L	+5.1wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	7c	2,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes	5c	2,000$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.93	144	13.9%20 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	9c	1,972$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.95	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc331…1d71backed Yes	9c	1,956$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.86	114	17.5%20 W · 94 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-11%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf262…c56dbacked Yes	1c	1,942$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.56	483	10.1%49 W · 434 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd187…c76cbacked Yes	6c	1,939$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.16	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe760…a0edbacked Yes	14c	1,760$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb5…899dbacked Yes	3c	1,759$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.5	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	+3.6wins	+0.11per pick	30cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	9c	1,675$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.4	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd13d…a958backed Yes	2c	1,598$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.19	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1e07…36a9backed Yes	2c	1,512$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.66	95	11.6%11 W · 84 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes	4c	1,510$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.61	121	14%17 W · 104 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2bf…f5adbacked Yes	3c	1,509$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.1	64	10.9%7 W · 57 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	6cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd68…0261backed Yes	2c	1,500$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	199	30.7%61 W · 138 L	+13.6wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes	7c	1,472$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.08	152	21.1%32 W · 120 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fe9…25f7backed Yes	6c	1,442$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.37	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	-17%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x958e…219cbacked Yes	4c	1,411$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.77	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	9c	1,378$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.52	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c11…aa48backed Yes	2c	1,373$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.42	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe941…96d9backed Yes	9c	1,369$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.95	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7acd…1086backed Yes	7c	1,288$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.86	130	8.5%11 W · 119 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+95.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x548a…e37abacked Yes	3c	1,287$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.91	77	16.9%13 W · 64 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4847…a7a2backed Yes	4c	1,281$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.71	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	4c	1,260$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.72	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x373c…290cbacked Yes	4c	1,227$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.27	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2559…460bbacked Yes	4c	1,217$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.38	264	18.6%49 W · 215 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb936…a6a6backed Yes	3c	1,206$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.9	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	11c	1,200$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.6	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3fb…dad8backed Yes	5c	1,176$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.71	123	32.5%40 W · 83 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf06d…26f7backed Yes	3c	1,154$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.65	110	11.8%13 W · 97 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b42…229ebacked Yes	9c	1,144$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.15	103	22.3%23 W · 80 L	+8.6wins	+0.08per pick	14cpaid	+59.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	4c	1,105$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.43	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24da…02c6backed Yes	3c	1,100$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	74	29.7%22 W · 52 L	+4.2wins	+0.06per pick	24cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	3c	1,025$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.26	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ae…2b33backed Yes	3c	1,021$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.63	59	20.3%12 W · 47 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x915b…2729backed Yes	19c	1,005$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.3	122	18.9%23 W · 99 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa25a…3e8ebacked Yes	4c	1,000$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	63	12.7%8 W · 55 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbeab…d961backed Yes	7c	1,000$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.5	148	29.1%43 W · 105 L	+6.6wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed33…ad20backed Yes	4c	990.76$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.09	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x299b…8994backed Yes	19c	966.62$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.8	66	28.8%19 W · 47 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58cd…775abacked Yes	6c	956.52$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.36	386	14.2%55 W · 331 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	3c	953.24$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.39	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	4c	902.38$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.41	398	6.8%27 W · 371 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x65fc…beacbacked Yes	9c	897.2$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.86	124	16.9%21 W · 103 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a28…1df7backed Yes	3c	894.65$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.09	180	24.4%44 W · 136 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe46…8b21backed Yes	5c	876.66$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.46	218	16.1%35 W · 183 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98aa…8b8fbacked Yes	3c	863.52$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.2	94	16%15 W · 79 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5deb…d24cbacked Yes	11c	831.97$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.34	56	33.9%19 W · 37 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event