Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0d8dcfaa63bb75cc16b56837505a0ae36d6e8904b02d0e3a36da641caebbdff

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 28, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $537,007
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $236,089

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $537,007 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	0c	63,740$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.94	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	0c	29,285$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.45	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf01e…51cbbacked Yes	0c	14,431$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.86	246	17.5%43 W · 203 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	0c	12,328$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.51	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	1c	10,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d87…f9f9backed Yes	5c	7,473$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.99	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	1c	7,043$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.13	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	0c	5,843$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.8	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Yes	3c	5,420$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.92	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-65.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	1c	5,259$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.41	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	1c	5,038$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.15	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec2d…de68backed Yes	2c	5,000$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	176	12.5%22 W · 154 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x102b…a7acbacked Yes	4c	4,880$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.11	38	23.7%9 W · 29 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	2c	4,859$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.41	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	2c	3,750$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.01	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	4c	3,332$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.38	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	3c	3,281$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.27	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	4c	3,226$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.29	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	3c	3,013$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.11	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	2c	3,000$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.5	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	3c	3,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	4c	2,848$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.19	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacbc…7cc3backed Yes	1c	2,740$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.49	115	12.2%14 W · 101 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	2c	2,560$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.77	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	5c	2,497$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.52	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	10c	2,342$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.99	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2bc…79d1backed Yes	2c	2,039$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	70	10%7 W · 63 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-48%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	2c	2,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	3c	2,000$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	1c	1,999$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.43	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes	2c	1,994$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.55	144	13.9%20 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	1c	1,955$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.3	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x062d…500fbacked Yes	6c	1,939$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.27	114	8.8%10 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	3c	1,818$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.47	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14cf…d019backed Yes	4c	1,703$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.83	78	11.5%9 W · 69 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d27…94c9backed Yes	11c	1,657$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.28	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x832d…6ec5backed Yes	1c	1,640$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.27	117	7.7%9 W · 108 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	4c	1,588$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.33	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24da…02c6backed Yes	3c	1,580$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.57	74	29.7%22 W · 52 L	+4.2wins	+0.06per pick	24cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x50bd…d20fbacked Yes	9c	1,513$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.19	99	11.1%11 W · 88 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b3c…b892backed Yes	3c	1,498$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.34	32	18.8%6 W · 26 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	2c	1,450$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.9	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	5c	1,448$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.15	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae31…7fa1backed Yes	3c	1,342$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.3	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	+2.5wins	+0.12per pick	22cpaid	+57%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	4c	1,323$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.51	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	7c	1,303$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.39	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed33…ad20backed Yes	3c	1,155$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.88	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	4c	1,124$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.64	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cc8…9e87backed Yes	9c	999.98$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	32	18.8%6 W · 26 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	+90.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aed…5925backed Yes	2c	945.5$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.91	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ad8…5004backed Yes	10c	846.24$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.7	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	15cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf262…c56dbacked Yes	4c	835.4$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.48	483	10.1%49 W · 434 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Yes	3c	811.72$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.25	62	16.1%10 W · 52 L	-4.7wins	-0.08per pick	24cpaid	-66.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	4c	797.64$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.89	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e83…30dabacked Yes	6c	755.6$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.34	94	23.4%22 W · 72 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	3c	687.03$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.94	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5668…1f91backed Yes	2c	665.41$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.97	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc267…850fbacked Yes	3c	653.95$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.41	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	21cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	5c	598.28$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.97	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	2c	579.43$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.26	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4473…28adbacked Yes	7c	526.26$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.28	184	19%35 W · 149 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	5c	511.4$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.97	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58cd…775abacked Yes	3c	509.36$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.54	386	14.2%55 W · 331 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf60…c978backed Yes	4c	507.05$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.63	92	13%12 W · 80 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked Yes	3c	500$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc3a…b7febacked Yes	14c	500$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0d…3ec5backed Yes	5c	499.54$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.81	32	25%8 W · 24 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	3c	481.84$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.14	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	7c	480$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.1	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d0f…bea9backed Yes	12c	449.99$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	278	11.9%33 W · 245 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+64.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc30e…4bf0backed Yes	5c	414.09$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.7	57	15.8%9 W · 48 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…4cc5backed Yes	4c	413.33$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.09	26	3.8%1 W · 25 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-80.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12e0…d6f8backed Yes	3c	409.38$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.69	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa661…4c55backed Yes	5c	407.25$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.36	132	15.9%21 W · 111 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ce…d47ebacked Yes	8c	380.57$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.45	106	17%18 W · 88 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c06…fbadbacked Yes	6c	354.13$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.25	42	16.7%7 W · 35 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2dd…1db4backed Yes	12c	345.14$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.91	160	9.4%15 W · 145 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecb0…a422backed Yes	6c	339.75$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.39	168	14.9%25 W · 143 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-40%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	9c	325.13$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.31	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	5c	308.82$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.37	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaef1…4058backed Yes	14c	300$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	264	10.6%28 W · 236 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-23%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	7c	300$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e9e…7883backed Yes	14c	299.99$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	70	10%7 W · 63 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb96d…defebacked Yes	12c	299.99$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2fdc…2e26backed Yes	10c	289.85$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.99	43	16.3%7 W · 36 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ec…d3f7backed Yes	8c	231.85$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.34	62	11.3%7 W · 55 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6d4…6d35backed Yes	13c	226.66$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.21	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f9e…10c8backed Yes	15c	223.15$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.47	56	12.5%7 W · 49 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc86e…b3e1backed Yes	13c	206.25$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.4	68	16.2%11 W · 57 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x63c4…f595backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	77	10.4%8 W · 69 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	6cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5825…1c87backed Yes	13c	188.22$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.47	52	11.5%6 W · 46 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2a0…4230backed Yes	12c	182.4$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.89	168	31.5%53 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1dc…09c2backed Yes	6c	181.2$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.87	129	14%18 W · 111 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x814f…aeecbacked Yes	8c	139.87$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.81	58	19%11 W · 47 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa78f…1905backed Yes	9c	133.73$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.82	21	19%4 W · 17 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43af…7923backed Yes	8c	130.07$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.02	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	12cpaid	-85.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	14c	124.04$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.37	350	24%84 W · 266 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef6c…33efbacked Yes	12c	100.53$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.86	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e43…b356backed Yes	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	178	18.5%33 W · 145 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e50…98f0backed Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	330	27.9%92 W · 238 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event