NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Devils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x278802c585952e483afaf22a533d11cd2b7821e53613fa6affb2323afebe98e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Devilsof Ducks, Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $501,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $512,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $501,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 324 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Devils | 50c | 214,329$108,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106,101.43 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Ducks | 50c | 106,789$53,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,394.65 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…c625backed Ducks | 49c | 88,070$43,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,154.13 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Ducks | 48c | 21,212$10,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,181.66 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5273…7ecdbacked Ducks | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Devils | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,599.99 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Ducks | 48c | 19,479$9,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,374.03 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c0…4837backed Devils | 51c | 19,000$9,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,310 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Ducks | 48c | 16,724$8,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,059.56 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6a…7530backed Devils | 51c | 13,500$6,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,615 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x846b…05a0backed Devils | 51c | 12,300$6,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,027 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Devils | 53c | 10,923$5,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,133.64 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Ducks | 47c | 10,215$4,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,756.15 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…11f2backed Ducks | 49c | 8,300$4,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,067 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1583…5d72backed Ducks | 49c | 8,200$4,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,018 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d99…c3e6backed Ducks | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40c7…2e7cbacked Devils | 50c | 7,600$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Ducks | 67c | 7,500$5,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,025 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Devils | 49c | 7,022$3,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,551.07 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Ducks | 6c | 6,486$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.15 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Devils | 33c | 5,979$1,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,005.9 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3f…3446backed Ducks | 51c | 5,929$3,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,023.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Devils | 52c | 5,762$2,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,794 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Ducks | 2c | 5,687$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Devils | 53c | 5,474$2,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,572.81 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Devils | 50c | 5,418$2,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.07 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Ducks | 47c | 4,995$2,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,347.6 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Devils | 50c | 4,800$2,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,424 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Devils | 60c | 4,127$2,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.31 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Devils | 49c | 4,049$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,077.5 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Ducks | 32c | 3,550$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.88 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Ducks | 49c | 3,469$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Ducks | 9c | 3,437$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4033…9a6fbacked Devils | 52c | 3,240$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x724f…4c20backed Ducks | 48c | 3,200$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Ducks | 48c | 3,105$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Devils | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…731cbacked Devils | 52c | 2,915$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.04 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb6…3156backed Ducks | 51c | 2,900$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7443…e010backed Ducks | 51c | 2,600$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Devils | 52c | 2,546$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.53 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Devils | 52c | 2,376$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.94 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Devils | 52c | 2,325$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.99 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Devils | 54c | 2,275$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.73 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Ducks | 1c | 2,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Devils | 50c | 2,087$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.74 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Ducks | 48c | 2,027$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.84 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Devils | 75c | 1,916$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.92 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Ducks | 46c | 1,904$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.69 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Devils | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Devils | 57c | 1,837$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.32 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Devils | 54c | 1,742$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.14 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Devils | 51c | 1,729$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.08 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…0e32backed Devils | 48c | 1,726$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.76 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Devils | 53c | 1,500$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.5 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Ducks | 50c | 1,420$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Devils | 52c | 1,392$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.14 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…9d91backed Ducks | 49c | 1,300$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Ducks | 8c | 1,281$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8d…c1f7backed Ducks | 50c | 1,200$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Devils | 63c | 1,177$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.46 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Devils | 49c | 1,110$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Devils | 47c | 1,099$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Ducks | 10c | 1,044$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503f…1137backed Devils | 53c | 1,038$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f3…5941backed Ducks | 48c | 1,021$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Ducks | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Devils | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Devils | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Ducks | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.88 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Devils | 51c | 999.99$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.57 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Devils | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Ducks | 47c | 999.9$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.95 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Devils | 55c | 904.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.54 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067e…e021backed Ducks | 51c | 900$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Devils | 50c | 813$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.5 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Devils | 52c | 733$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.84 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Devils | 61c | 721.98$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.59 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…0f54backed Ducks | 51c | 705$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.55 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Ducks | 50c | 700.82$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.41 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Ducks | 48c | 666.67$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…39c7backed Ducks | 52c | 650.1$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.05 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Ducks | 47c | 600$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Devils | 51c | 594.43$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.33 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Devils | 48c | 583$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.16 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Ducks | 45c | 575.03$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.59 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0424…95ddbacked Ducks | 53c | 574.03$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +165.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…3527backed Devils | 53c | 549.87$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.11 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Ducks | 30c | 547.76$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.07 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Devils | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e3…e5b3backed Ducks | 24c | 457.14$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…cfe5backed Ducks | 48c | 454.54$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.18 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Ducks | 48c | 450$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Ducks | 48c | 442.38$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.34 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Ducks | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…ff16backed Ducks | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed Devils | 52c | 404.86$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.66 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Devils | 49c | 402.02$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.55 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Devils | 52c | 386$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.28 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Ducks | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Devilsthis page
- Ducks vs. Devils: O/U 5.5Under won
- Ducks vs. Devils: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)Devils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.