TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Ducks vs. Devils: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,911
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,696

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,911 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a72…33eebacked Over49c32,058$15,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,708.441,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d6…34e3backed Under51c8,536$4,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,197.122955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c6,955$3,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,419.232,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under51c5,882$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,882.1828652.4%150 W · 136 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under51c5,653$2,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,770.461,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.7627243.4%118 W · 154 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under50c3,432$1,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7161,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50013333.1%44 W · 89 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over50c2,510$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255.0423754%128 W · 109 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under50c2,500$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,25023751.5%122 W · 115 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under50c2,061$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.6185250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over49c1,837$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90047256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under51c1,800$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88276450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Under51c1,471$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.5943743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under50c1,133$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.3788151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under53c1,012$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.012,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over40c901.28$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.012,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Under51c879$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.7175155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Over47c762.24$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.2583652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under53c707$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.291,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb973…ff16backed Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010746.7%50 W · 57 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under51c588$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.1222248.2%107 W · 115 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Over43c424.26$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.4322150.2%111 W · 110 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over49c420.63$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.71,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under51c313.08$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.391,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14775946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under51c296$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.0437649.7%187 W · 189 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under50c260.56$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.2851452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under50c256.22$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.111,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2128…4c6dbacked Over50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1257035.7%25 W · 45 L-9.6wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-30.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9820446.6%95 W · 109 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b23…39fdbacked Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.083842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0830447.4%144 W · 160 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d56…0ba5backed Over51c190$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.95550.9%28 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under51c159.55$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.181,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under51c157$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.3379251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a8a…b155backed Under52c144.23$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.239758.8%57 W · 40 L+10.3wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+23.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Under49c126$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.263953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3f1…1ec7backed Over49c122.59$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.072828.6%8 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-27.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbe6b…b068backed Under50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602564%16 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under51c110$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.159950.4%302 W · 297 L+20.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1a7…8150backed Over51c109.8$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564245.2%19 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under51c102$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9858346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4838445.8%176 W · 208 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2816…6ad7backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011447.4%54 W · 60 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4941847.8%200 W · 218 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under51c78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2248149.3%237 W · 244 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under51c78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2247249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under51c73$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0229550.2%148 W · 147 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under51c69$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9927148.7%132 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f9f…c934backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021454.2%116 W · 98 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under51c59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9179350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under51c58$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6241851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under51c57$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0826448.9%129 W · 135 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under51c57$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0826348.7%128 W · 135 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked Under51c52$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6616048.1%77 W · 83 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed Under51c52$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6615647.4%74 W · 82 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Under65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.55954.2%32 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd3…8254backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255848.3%28 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x591a…aec2backed Over35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.513644.9%61 W · 75 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79c3…81e3backed Over49c40.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.026845.6%31 W · 37 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013246.2%61 W · 71 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7c6…5210backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2010652.8%56 W · 50 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac7a…414fbacked Under51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.66949.3%34 W · 35 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86d3…6887backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1649045.3%222 W · 268 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3658…614abacked Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6260549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014844.6%66 W · 82 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ff…015ebacked Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0efe…df51backed Under51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.223557.1%20 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under51c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6221648.1%104 W · 112 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under51c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.629951.5%51 W · 48 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under51c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6219647.4%93 W · 103 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under51c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6219046.8%89 W · 101 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under51c37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2319745.2%89 W · 108 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under51c37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2320045.5%91 W · 109 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Under51c37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2321951.6%113 W · 106 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x65b5…a9f7backed Under51c34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7813145.8%60 W · 71 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed Under51c34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7813346.6%62 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.93855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under51c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.829548.4%46 W · 49 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under51c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.829750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under51c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8210552.4%55 W · 50 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under51c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2319645.4%89 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under51c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2320447.5%97 W · 107 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under51c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2310543.8%46 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under51c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2313046.2%60 W · 70 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under51c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2319848.5%96 W · 102 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under51c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2319442.8%83 W · 111 L-12.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under51c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2318946%87 W · 102 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cd5…30f0backed Over51c26.27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x45f0…7c2ebacked Over50c23.76$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.88650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x668a…e8e1backed Over52c22.81$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7650%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x71a8…22f0backed Under53c20.38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.58742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac9c…19babacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2643…28c2backed Under53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.45752.6%30 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf30a…3583backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107640.8%31 W · 45 L-9.3wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-22.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xce0a…2d88backed Under61c17.98$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.988457.1%48 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.