TailMyPicks

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College Football · resolved market

Louisiana Tech vs. Missouri State

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Louisiana Techof Louisiana Tech, Missouri State
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$185,894
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$213,841

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,894 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1e3a…4033backed Missouri State58c43,255$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,00019362.2%120 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Missouri State57c31,287$17,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,820.6711846.6%55 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Louisiana Tech43c25,587$10,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,636.158850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb78…5206backed Missouri State31c22,445$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0001118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-58.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Louisiana Tech69c18,497$12,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,735.0162843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Louisiana Tech43c9,533$4,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,467.362,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Missouri State5c7,782$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.9664841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Louisiana Tech42c6,489$2,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,763.8716234%55 W · 107 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Louisiana Tech44c5,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,80011248.2%54 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Louisiana Tech43c4,512$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,571.783056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Missouri State56c4,509$2,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,525.093542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Missouri State57c4,500$2,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,56538546%177 W · 208 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Louisiana Tech43c3,937$1,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.3448546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Louisiana Tech67c3,510$2,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.1986243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Louisiana Tech43c3,166$1,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,811.5465945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Louisiana Tech43c2,907$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,656.9917443.7%76 W · 98 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Louisiana Tech43c2,070$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.177342.5%31 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Louisiana Tech43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5707448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Missouri State58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58017837.6%67 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Louisiana Tech43c952.53$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.177830.8%24 W · 54 L-8.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked Missouri State37c902.32$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.3340%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Missouri State18c846$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.3620553.7%110 W · 95 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x336a…1915backed Missouri State56c805.36$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-55.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Louisiana Tech72c784.37$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.5655350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Missouri State7c731.72$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7140541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Louisiana Tech44c691$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.9617361.3%106 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Missouri State29c681.14$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.533625%9 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Missouri State65c619.99$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4033240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Louisiana Tech44c541.75$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.85549.1%27 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Louisiana Tech42c517.24$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3008549.4%42 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Louisiana Tech42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29025629.3%75 W · 181 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Missouri State56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2807447.3%35 W · 39 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Missouri State11c485$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.757144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd368…1889backed Missouri State56c461$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.166241.9%26 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x071e…0d11backed Missouri State28c417.86$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-68.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Louisiana Tech44c386.36$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.363141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+32.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Louisiana Tech43c383.72$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.727040%28 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Louisiana Tech66c360$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.423751.1%121 W · 116 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Louisiana Tech43c343.15$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.0250358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked Missouri State50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504845.8%22 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Missouri State16c286.13$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8626939.8%107 W · 162 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Louisiana Tech75c266.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.191457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Louisiana Tech72c238$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6411844.1%52 W · 66 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Louisiana Tech44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.279154.9%50 W · 41 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Louisiana Tech43c216.97$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.6728440.8%116 W · 168 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Louisiana Tech44c214$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.7540244.8%180 W · 222 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2862…b2ddbacked Louisiana Tech44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1127445.9%34 W · 40 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+27.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Louisiana Tech42c190.96$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.7622030.5%67 W · 153 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d95…4b60backed Missouri State56c190$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b36…9637backed Louisiana Tech44c189$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06c2…3aafbacked Missouri State56c188$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b84…de2ebacked Missouri State56c188$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a0…a4d5backed Louisiana Tech44c188$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x493d…0deebacked Louisiana Tech44c187$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0852…d1b3backed Missouri State56c187$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26fd…7b59backed Louisiana Tech44c187$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc4f…db71backed Louisiana Tech44c186$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fae…e47fbacked Louisiana Tech44c186$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04e8…5e4bbacked Missouri State56c185$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa033…a97abacked Missouri State56c185$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed Louisiana Tech43c177.59$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.226847.1%32 W · 36 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3458…b5a7backed Missouri State57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010664.2%68 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51b8…1df6backed Missouri State57c175$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a8a…b155backed Louisiana Tech44c170.45$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.455641.1%23 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2025…129ebacked Missouri State23c135.62$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Missouri State55c125$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.520450.5%103 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Missouri State50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507534.7%26 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47e0…6510backed Missouri State20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09f6…1ed9backed Missouri State56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe95c…adbdbacked Louisiana Tech44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Louisiana Tech43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5710242.2%43 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Louisiana Tech43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5728032.9%92 W · 188 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x76fc…e0bdbacked Missouri State55c99.98$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.992937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6077…f4f4backed Louisiana Tech35c98.74$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.184447.7%21 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57e4…a93cbacked Louisiana Tech44c97.73$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.731127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-38.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Missouri State33c87$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7154243.2%234 W · 308 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89e3…9cfebacked Louisiana Tech44c80$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x001b…5bf9backed Missouri State56c80$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Louisiana Tech44c78.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2329351.9%152 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99b8…8846backed Louisiana Tech44c75$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0049…152cbacked Missouri State56c75$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed Louisiana Tech51c64$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5311752.1%61 W · 56 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea56…251dbacked Louisiana Tech46c61.93$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+125%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce04…9496backed Louisiana Tech44c59.09$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.091947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a9c…598dbacked Missouri State39c58.72$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.653641.7%15 W · 21 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Louisiana Tech59c54.95$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7221538.6%83 W · 132 L-0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ca8…98adbacked Missouri State56c51.7$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x312e…e9aabacked Louisiana Tech46c51.16$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a5f…afbfbacked Louisiana Tech48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Louisiana Tech44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2811354.9%62 W · 51 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x25cf…7b3ebacked Missouri State56c45.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2761…f840backed Louisiana Tech45c43.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Louisiana Tech44c43$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0811545.2%52 W · 63 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e74…d044backed Missouri State57c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.87346.6%34 W · 39 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa523…89a6backed Missouri State57c37.67$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed Missouri State55c33.57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.393948.7%19 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x490e…6ea7backed Louisiana Tech44c33.07$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.521855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08bb…458cbacked Missouri State56c32.6$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1953…21d7backed Louisiana Tech45c32.51$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1e3…39f0backed Louisiana Tech44c31.82$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.824252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.