NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1fe1d9df6637a49edce2371585d24961139e576c25b5973818fcf393f261c43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Knicks, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Raptors | 49c | 60,521$29,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,735.95 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Knicks | 51c | 17,505$8,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,661.12 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Knicks | 50c | 14,925$7,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,462.5 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Knicks | 51c | 12,441$6,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,096.09 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Knicks | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Knicks | 45c | 6,660$2,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,663.06 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked Raptors | 55c | 6,609$3,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,635.06 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Raptors | 47c | 6,244$2,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,934.84 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Raptors | 51c | 6,000$3,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,044.97 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Raptors | 53c | 5,553$2,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,943 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 10c | 4,006$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.46 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Knicks | 52c | 4,000$2,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x535b…25a9backed Knicks | 53c | 3,739$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.64 | 125 | 55.2%69 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Knicks | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Raptors | 49c | 2,501$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.59 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Raptors | 46c | 1,858$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.82 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed Knicks | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.92 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Knicks | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Knicks | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Knicks | 48c | 1,088$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.76 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Raptors | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Raptors | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Knicks | 48c | 993.42$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.58 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Knicks | 48c | 888$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.76 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Knicks | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 271 | 61.3%166 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Knicks | 50c | 714.58$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.29 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Raptors | 47c | 700$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Raptors | 10c | 627.59$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.41 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Knicks | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe595…4135backed Knicks | 48c | 520$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Raptors | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…3b2ebacked Knicks | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Knicks | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Knicks | 50c | 305.46$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.07 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Raptors | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x205f…0189backed Raptors | 47c | 276.6$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks | 48c | 247$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.44 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Knicks | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 230 | 58.7%135 W · 95 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Knicks | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Raptors | 47c | 200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2742…ad13backed Knicks | 48c | 176$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce67…8558backed Raptors | 52c | 168$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe666…14f5backed Knicks | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Knicks | 52c | 140$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.55 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Raptors | 49c | 123.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.49 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…845bbacked Raptors | 54c | 116.37$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.84 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x265b…74dfbacked Knicks | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Knicks | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Knicks | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 385 | 45.7%176 W · 209 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881f…dfe9backed Knicks | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Knicks | 53c | 101.28$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.81 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Knicks | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Knicks | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f7…3ea6backed Raptors | 47c | 76.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked Knicks | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked Knicks | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c24…8c06backed Raptors | 53c | 68.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Knicks | 46c | 66.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f56…f93cbacked Knicks | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Knicks | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Knicks | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 127 | 43.3%55 W · 72 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb317…1893backed Raptors | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec1…dd29backed Knicks | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 225 | 56.9%128 W · 97 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Knicks | 46c | 36.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8e…1ef0backed Raptors | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…c457backed Raptors | 48c | 35.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Knicks | 48c | 31.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…6349backed Knicks | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 173 | 50.9%88 W · 85 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6127backed Raptors | 51c | 25.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40a6…a17ebacked Knicks | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…ef48backed Knicks | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Knicks vs. RaptorsKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.