NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf99669340d8f4e10ddf377bebb496084d658067ec6b3c30c8e6b57db80036068
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 44c | 1,400$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Under | 69c | 676.02$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.57 | 294 | 58.5%172 W · 122 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 31c | 595$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.45 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4441…3551backed Over | 65c | 400$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 339.15$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.75 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 60c | 236$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.4 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…4d55backed Over | 40c | 183$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…0465backed Over | 38c | 178$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9c…f8dcbacked Over | 39c | 178$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…04b5backed Over | 39c | 177$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ed…96c8backed Over | 39c | 177$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe60…4374backed Over | 39c | 177$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49e8…b1b0backed Over | 40c | 173$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Under | 60c | 169$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +10.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x59a6…edc4backed Under | 60c | 168$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f89…c6b4backed Over | 38c | 168$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ab…d51fbacked Under | 61c | 168$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf169…de63backed Under | 61c | 168$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c58…0f7ebacked Under | 61c | 167$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01cf…3928backed Under | 62c | 166$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbd…db64backed Over | 38c | 166$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc4…33cbbacked Under | 61c | 165$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33da…f818backed Under | 62c | 164.98$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.31 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc91e…11c8backed Over | 40c | 164$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…98e2backed Over | 39c | 163$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…3157backed Under | 60c | 161$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…b5f8backed Over | 38c | 159$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee9b…d3b6backed Under | 62c | 158$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe227…6198backed Under | 61c | 157$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.23 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…d223backed Under | 60c | 157$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x910c…3de8backed Over | 38c | 155$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f69…5092backed Over | 39c | 155$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe18…85abbacked Under | 62c | 154$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27b…7f4dbacked Over | 38c | 153$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 38c | 150.81$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.31 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef55…7603backed Under | 62c | 148$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65f4…1dc2backed Under | 61c | 147$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d9…a4d1backed Under | 62c | 145$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0f…8837backed Under | 62c | 141$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Under | 61c | 127$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.53 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 61c | 118$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1b…854dbacked Over | 41c | 104$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 58c | 100.29$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f89…8ed0backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba1…b0b6backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Under | 60c | 87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Over | 40c | 82.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked Over | 40c | 69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Under | 61c | 69$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed Over | 40c | 57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under | 61c | 53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Under | 60c | 52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Over | 39c | 49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Under | 59c | 44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Under | 61c | 41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Over | 39c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 47c | 34.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…6640backed Over | 40c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed Over | 39c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed Over | 39c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed Over | 39c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6be8…f449backed Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed Under | 59c | 31.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed Over | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed Over | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…ea69backed Over | 40c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed Over | 39c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…4462backed Over | 40c | 25.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Under | 61c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Knicks vs. RaptorsKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.