NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5414548e11b314200bb04bd93d3b23e7d08b19caf36f6741709d23b379bdecd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Knicks, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Raptors | 47c | 10,320$4,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,850.37 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e3…bf42backed Knicks | 51c | 9,900$5,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,851 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf10…4902backed Raptors | 49c | 9,900$4,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,851 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Knicks | 54c | 9,061$4,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,168.06 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Knicks | 52c | 8,644$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,143.79 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Raptors | 47c | 2,835$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.54 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Knicks | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Raptors | 49c | 2,449$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2f…aa56backed Knicks | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…6ee5backed Raptors | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…31d0backed Knicks | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e5…eec3backed Knicks | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…6313backed Raptors | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4db…309dbacked Raptors | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Knicks | 53c | 1,900$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.61 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks | 53c | 1,650$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.19 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Raptors | 49c | 1,514$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Knicks | 52c | 1,400$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Knicks | 54c | 1,389$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.89 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Raptors | 46c | 1,204$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.05 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 44c | 1,182$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.31 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Knicks | 53c | 877.49$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.42 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Raptors | 46c | 826.58$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.26 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Raptors | 47c | 732.95$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.13 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Raptors | 47c | 618.66$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.77 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Raptors | 49c | 607.5$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.68 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -13.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Raptors | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors | 47c | 599$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.53 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Raptors | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Knicks | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Raptors | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37a9…67a0backed Raptors | 48c | 245.83$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22dd…cc0fbacked Raptors | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Knicks | 51c | 240$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Knicks | 53c | 220$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Raptors | 48c | 216.87$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50f5…91febacked Raptors | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Knicks | 51c | 200$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Raptors | 51c | 200$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.37 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Raptors | 50c | 200$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Knicks | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Raptors | 48c | 199.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Knicks | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 293 | 46.4%136 W · 157 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Knicks | 52c | 193.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.16 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…05ebbacked Raptors | 48c | 191.67$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Knicks | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 156 | 57.7%90 W · 66 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Raptors | 47c | 187.18$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.96 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a5…4024backed Knicks | 52c | 185.04$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.82 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b7…103cbacked Knicks | 58c | 175.17$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.93 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Raptors | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2f…0adcbacked Knicks | 54c | 157.41$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0d…0d74backed Raptors | 48c | 152.08$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Raptors | 49c | 151.8$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.38 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aea…e33ebacked Raptors | 48c | 143.75$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…56dbbacked Knicks | 52c | 143$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.64 | 378 | 48.9%185 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0da…aacebacked Raptors | 48c | 141.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc348…78dfbacked Raptors | 48c | 135.42$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a86…f5a8backed Raptors | 48c | 127.08$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Raptors | 45c | 125.9$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.13 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bc…9937backed Raptors | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…f285backed Raptors | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Knicks | 53c | 112.25$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.76 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59eb…fa33backed Raptors | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…6355backed Knicks | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Raptors | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Raptors | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa5…3272backed Raptors | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fa…f25ebacked Knicks | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…b6d3backed Knicks | 52c | 95.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x515e…cf91backed Raptors | 49c | 94.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Knicks | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…97dfbacked Knicks | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Raptors | 42c | 92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Raptors | 47c | 90$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6934…58dfbacked Knicks | 54c | 83.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Knicks | 52c | 82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Knicks | 57c | 77.09$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Raptors | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3269…d5b3backed Knicks | 51c | 69.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Knicks | 52c | 69.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8d…daf1backed Raptors | 48c | 68.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 47c | 66.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…0a5cbacked Knicks | 52c | 64.94$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 368 | 42.4%156 W · 212 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda84…ad33backed Knicks | 52c | 64.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Raptors | 49c | 64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Raptors | 48c | 63.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e9…f67fbacked Knicks | 52c | 63.37$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…2332backed Raptors | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a7…8400backed Raptors | 49c | 61.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Knicks | 56c | 60.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Raptors | 48c | 58.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Raptors | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Knicks | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0564…82fdbacked Knicks | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Knicks | 53c | 56.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 345 | 56.2%194 W · 151 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Raptors | 28c | 56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…dee4backed Knicks | 72c | 56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Raptors | 47c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdb…7a7abacked Knicks | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1b…854dbacked Knicks | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Knicks vs. RaptorsKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.