Us Midterms · resolved market
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a9abb96b3667c4e3db9b24241fe39f48e936f0473ccbbc0948000e474ae4cfd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $209,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $196,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15d4…6dddbacked Yes | 49c | 11,341$5,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,577.87 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 30c | 10,484$3,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,344.01 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 41c | 5,051$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.4 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce3…f779backed Yes | 15c | 4,460$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.3 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Yes | 34c | 4,091$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.81 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6735…f5b7backed No | 33c | 3,086$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,073.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +204.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes | 74c | 2,935$2,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,173.58 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 22c | 2,667$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.03 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 8c | 2,572$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.29 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 59c | 2,543$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.13 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed Yes | 3c | 2,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…e36fbacked No | 60c | 2,395$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.19 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +5.2wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +82%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 60c | 2,375$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.15 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d6…fdd3backed Yes | 10c | 2,362$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.7 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…f6b5backed No | 21c | 2,357$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 31cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 38c | 2,255$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.84 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f6…1905backed Yes | 40c | 2,226$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked Yes | 12c | 2,071$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.75 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +101.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed No | 18c | 2,058$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.97 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed No | 43c | 2,030$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…2f22backed Yes | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.99 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -76%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes | 4c | 1,960$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.77 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a73…c046backed Yes | 15c | 1,907$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…a498backed Yes | 38c | 1,730$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…b99cbacked No | 41c | 1,707$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 9c | 1,702$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.23 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…c857backed No | 28c | 1,700$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +262.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked Yes | 8c | 1,516$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.37 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 9c | 1,408$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.89 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe554…ee0ebacked Yes | 33c | 1,305$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed Yes | 11c | 1,229$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.8 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,159$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.65 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 61c | 999.99$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 50c | 941.93$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.8 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc77b…a526backed Yes | 11c | 894.01$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.89 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6558…e485backed Yes | 11c | 892$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 58c | 874.82$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.68 | 248 | 31%77 W · 171 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcff9…795abacked No | 18c | 850.5$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.84 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +511.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 16c | 841.95$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.95 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa43d…00f4backed Yes | 39c | 800$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…a01fbacked Yes | 11c | 797$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.67 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…aecebacked Yes | 30c | 784.04$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +103%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x231e…9297backed No | 19c | 771.74$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +436.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69a1…379abacked Yes | 34c | 751.29$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +187.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 46c | 668.43$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.53 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9995…d0d3backed No | 19c | 652$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 79c | 648.94$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadbd…93f9backed No | 62c | 614$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 37c | 603.89$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.1 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…c83bbacked No | 62c | 572$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed No | 58c | 560.39$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.37 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked Yes | 41c | 555$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.55 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 9c | 553.62$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 81 | 6.2%5 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…a539backed No | 62c | 544$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…1dcfbacked Yes | 11c | 528$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Yes | 51c | 507.91$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.72 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…6a32backed Yes | 12c | 506.14$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd262…c312backed No | 25c | 480.58$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +205.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb237…d8d0backed Yes | 43c | 461.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 9c | 449.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 98 | 19.4%19 W · 79 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed Yes | 9c | 436.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 9c | 434.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 104 | 2.9%3 W · 101 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed Yes | 78c | 420.38$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.57 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -6.0wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 79c | 412.79$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.73 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ea…7a3dbacked Yes | 59c | 380$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.2 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf61f…c8b2backed No | 25c | 370.37$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.08 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 22c | 360.22$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.97 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +9.0wins | +0.34per pick | 23cpaid | +138.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f7…e73bbacked Yes | 11c | 349.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb27…0dd4backed No | 38c | 328.45$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +160.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…f0f4backed Yes | 13c | 321.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8954…704bbacked Yes | 41c | 318.89$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1c…efafbacked Yes | 58c | 308.61$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.91 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 68c | 300$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked Yes | 75c | 300$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…5525backed No | 51c | 290$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 9c | 286.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 9c | 281.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 133 | 17.3%23 W · 110 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89fa…da19backed Yes | 57c | 278.41$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Yes | 43c | 263.89$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x074b…a249backed Yes | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Yes | 41c | 250.09$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 75c | 248.78$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.36 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 46c | 245.88$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.93 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes | 48c | 241.79$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.72 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6a…7dfdbacked Yes | 42c | 232.5$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa575…f2d0backed No | 75c | 222.91$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…0fa7backed Yes | 43c | 218.18$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 60c | 206.91$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.72 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c7…d291backed Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x878d…1a9bbacked No | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x311c…d7cebacked Yes | 35c | 200$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked Yes | 25c | 190.94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…6630backed Yes | 42c | 190.47$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 50c | 167.43$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.83 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…6a27backed Yes | 43c | 167.3$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed No | 54c | 164$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb0…3231backed Yes | 11c | 160$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…7a20backed Yes | 43c | 156.82$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?this page
- Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?Yes won
- Will Jasmine Crockett and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?No won
- Will Jasmine Crockett and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?No won
- Will Jasmine Crockett and Wesley Hunt be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?No won
- Will two candidates other than the listed pairs be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.