NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x197d51b57b3a57e997713426aa59cf0e71e39dee774cdff7e640045d609b387b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Wingsof Red Wings, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,161,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,494,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,161,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 387 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8dbf…53bebacked Red Wings | 44c | 339,134$149,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190,075.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Red Wings | 78c | 108,835$84,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,430.59 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Red Wings | 77c | 94,316$72,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,413.1 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Kings | 56c | 86,228$48,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,279 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Kings | 56c | 66,989$37,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,622.67 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Kings | 57c | 52,809$30,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,139.26 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Kings | 56c | 34,500$19,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,320 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Kings | 56c | 30,713$17,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,052.52 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Kings | 56c | 30,030$16,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,942.01 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Red Wings | 42c | 27,895$11,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,179.27 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Red Wings | 42c | 25,000$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,499.85 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Kings | 58c | 24,433$14,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,138.97 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Red Wings | 47c | 20,215$9,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,758.15 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Kings | 58c | 16,552$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600.16 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kings | 56c | 15,095$8,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,453.17 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Kings | 40c | 14,446$5,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,782.03 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba24…84c0backed Kings | 0c | 14,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Kings | 58c | 13,924$8,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,075.68 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f1…95e2backed Kings | 68c | 12,595$8,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,564.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x934e…ec2bbacked Red Wings | 32c | 12,595$4,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,564.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +186.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Red Wings | 42c | 11,111$4,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,444.34 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Red Wings | 68c | 10,253$7,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,237.45 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Kings | 58c | 9,925$5,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,805.47 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Kings | 4c | 8,429$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.75 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Red Wings | 5c | 6,677$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,358.84 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Kings | 59c | 6,312$3,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.32 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Red Wings | 42c | 5,815$2,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,383.79 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…731cbacked Red Wings | 78c | 5,192$4,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.56 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Red Wings | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Kings | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Red Wings | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd339…d3a1backed Kings | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Red Wings | 41c | 4,791$1,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,826.58 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Kings | 33c | 4,603$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Red Wings | 42c | 4,368$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,535.39 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Kings | 4c | 4,038$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Red Wings | 47c | 3,729$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.79 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Red Wings | 46c | 3,706$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.28 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Red Wings | 46c | 3,666$1,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,963.26 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…b145backed Kings | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Kings | 43c | 3,438$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.28 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Red Wings | 42c | 3,406$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978.17 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed Red Wings | 15c | 3,263$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,776.28 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 39cpaid | +689.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Kings | 59c | 2,909$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Red Wings | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Red Wings | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…49a1backed Kings | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.82 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Kings | 56c | 2,355$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.61 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Kings | 57c | 2,350$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.96 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Kings | 54c | 2,320$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.5 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Red Wings | 46c | 2,297$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.07 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 56c | 2,226$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.79 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Red Wings | 30c | 2,201$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.37 | 201 | 37.8%76 W · 125 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Kings | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Red Wings | 48c | 1,861$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.36 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Red Wings | 49c | 1,597$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.78 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…5696backed Kings | 57c | 1,513$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Red Wings | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Red Wings | 42c | 1,475$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.62 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Red Wings | 59c | 1,293$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.73 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Red Wings | 43c | 1,264$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.57 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…2081backed Red Wings | 43c | 1,225$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings | 53c | 1,154$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.13 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db5…ff72backed Kings | 58c | 1,100$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Kings | 5c | 1,044$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Kings | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Red Wings | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Red Wings | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked Red Wings | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed Kings | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.99 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Kings | 57c | 999.6$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.77 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Red Wings | 73c | 973.37$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.81 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 57cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kings | 45c | 957.52$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.58 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Red Wings | 42c | 910.99$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.37 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kings | 49c | 907.51$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.6 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Red Wings | 49c | 877.24$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.08 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a96…203cbacked Red Wings | 43c | 800$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kings | 56c | 793$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.97 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Kings | 35c | 749.94$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.11 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Red Wings | 41c | 747$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.73 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cff…b104backed Red Wings | 44c | 738.88$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4131…4030backed Red Wings | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7b…c0a4backed Kings | 58c | 697$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.26 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bc…45c3backed Kings | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…698abacked Red Wings | 2c | 561$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +1,762.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85a5…6721backed Kings | 58c | 504.38$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.7 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Kings | 57c | 503$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.71 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Red Wings | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Red Wings | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Red Wings | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Red Wings | 44c | 454.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.44 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Kings | 45c | 400$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Kings | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Red Wings | 72c | 390.28$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.28 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Red Wings | 56c | 390$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.78 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Kings | 41c | 384.17$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.76 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5431backed Red Wings | 42c | 375.22$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.34 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Red Wings | 43c | 372.09$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.09 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Kings | 59c | 355.91$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…a319backed Kings | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Wings vs. Kingsthis page
- Red Wings vs. Kings: O/U 5.5Over won
- Red Wings vs. Kings: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Red Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.