Venezuela · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cbd4d03c07e511e1cd839afac09445deda560142530a082ab51d33352bab8a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $357,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $386,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $357,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 465 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked Yes | 59c | 41,899$24,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,700 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 72c | 30,132$21,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,353.68 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 63c | 21,172$13,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,841.32 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69ea…15cdbacked No | 58c | 9,709$5,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,103.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 15c | 8,310$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.96 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed No | 57c | 6,575$3,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,848.47 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 50c | 6,089$3,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,036.16 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 22c | 5,793$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.98 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…e2c4backed Yes | 17c | 5,540$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…8c18backed No | 70c | 5,006$3,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 74c | 4,882$3,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 64cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2822…3f0cbacked Yes | 6c | 3,368$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 2,957$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 164 | 4.9%8 W · 156 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb766…1d83backed No | 74c | 2,744$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.37 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 47c | 2,467$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.28 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8d…84bcbacked Yes | 44c | 2,356$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 13c | 2,211$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.87 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 12cpaid | +977.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…6896backed Yes | 53c | 2,211$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 36c | 2,196$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed No | 70c | 2,087$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.91 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x233b…1f2cbacked Yes | 11c | 2,086$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 37c | 2,026$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.29 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -77%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 37c | 1,972$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.21 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea7…79acbacked No | 57c | 1,899$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 6c | 1,880$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.41 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23ed…aebcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,804$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…4b33backed No | 78c | 1,778$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 14c | 1,700$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.86 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6810…38a3backed Yes | 30c | 1,651$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8793…23dabacked Yes | 1c | 1,604$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab69…2283backed Yes | 6c | 1,573$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 72c | 1,524$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.77 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked No | 60c | 1,462$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.74 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked No | 71c | 1,430$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 34c | 1,406$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.05 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…009bbacked Yes | 37c | 1,392$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a55…5126backed No | 74c | 1,352$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…bd62backed Yes | 30c | 1,349$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6452…30a1backed No | 75c | 1,342$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5018…6108backed Yes | 37c | 1,336$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…9c85backed No | 61c | 1,328$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.75 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Yes | 27c | 1,307$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 42c | 1,274$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 63cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f87…f277backed No | 63c | 1,246$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 41c | 1,206$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.79 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…eba4backed No | 38c | 1,157$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a16…ad87backed No | 46c | 1,150$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 34c | 1,120$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.04 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8d…1535backed Yes | 20c | 1,100$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb6…31fcbacked No | 64c | 1,077$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…599ebacked Yes | 24c | 1,075$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7661…208abacked Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc2…597abacked Yes | 40c | 1,000$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.24 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…c7b8backed No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…0760backed No | 77c | 999.98$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.29 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 24c | 997.96$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.87 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x286d…37c7backed Yes | 5c | 962.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c3…de2ebacked No | 58c | 958.98$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 12c | 907.89$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.31 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 22c | 863.58$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4f…552fbacked No | 59c | 854.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.23 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 33c | 852.13$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.65 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c7…62dabacked Yes | 63c | 848.61$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…ad9fbacked No | 44c | 844.71$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.23 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe642…ca9ebacked Yes | 16c | 841.93$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 44c | 840.26$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.76 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…864bbacked No | 63c | 838$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +60%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 9c | 822.32$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be5…c1b3backed No | 62c | 816.04$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x413d…d704backed No | 76c | 799.97$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes | 33c | 769.9$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab81…6e6dbacked Yes | 14c | 764.15$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed No | 68c | 722.44$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.16 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked No | 59c | 714.23$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 61c | 703.71$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.57 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 4c | 703.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…09d0backed Yes | 51c | 697.21$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.81 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -4.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 65c | 689.96$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.79 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed71…d7cebacked Yes | 37c | 686$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 50c | 681.23$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 40c | 673.4$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.32 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad0d…59bdbacked Yes | 68c | 670$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cb…6e8fbacked Yes | 38c | 668.66$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 26c | 653.59$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.93 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffe…4071backed Yes | 34c | 652.22$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…cb4bbacked No | 48c | 651.31$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc77b…a526backed No | 59c | 640.35$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 32c | 635.5$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.93 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 38c | 632.99$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.97 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54f9…2697backed Yes | 66c | 601.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…79d0backed No | 29c | 599.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.99 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…5790backed Yes | 46c | 567.65$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 35c | 564.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -69%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 43c | 558.2$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.76 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccd…1ec9backed No | 37c | 544.49$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b1…d224backed Yes | 60c | 534.93$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 10c | 531$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.76 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a5…5f3cbacked Yes | 28c | 523.61$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf330…7811backed No | 77c | 521.96$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?this page
- Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by February 15?No won
- Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.