Venezuela · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by February 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc451d4adced9cb4822ab0dd09a2353183a7d9a1157c2ef3f02e825586bfd4d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 9c | 2,000$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.14 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 1,504$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 3cpaid | -50%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,360$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 164 | 4.9%8 W · 156 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 44 | 4.5%2 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 2c | 1,148$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7661…208abacked Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…e2c4backed Yes | 8c | 952.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked Yes | 12c | 868.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 10c | 300.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c79…768fbacked Yes | 21c | 253.28$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 66c | 190.84$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.71 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 33c | 143.31$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 124 | 25.8%32 W · 92 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 13c | 94.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 69c | 91.31$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccd…1ec9backed No | 80c | 51.01$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by February 15?this page
- Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?No won
- Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.