Venezuela · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92643b0e0982d56d25338d6004bbac58997959802f8f00c211440d1c7e4575f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48f3…104fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,438$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 18c | 2,529$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.23 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd29f…26b4backed Yes | 21c | 2,391$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7716…82f6backed Yes | 8c | 1,505$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x704b…d95dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,440$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0407…8b86backed Yes | 8c | 1,433$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f3…e305backed Yes | 8c | 1,412$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d26…d21fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,398$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…3675backed Yes | 8c | 1,378$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x949c…4c8ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,367$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d02…03a9backed Yes | 8c | 1,362$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ab…8ef7backed Yes | 8c | 1,066$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x634d…8c38backed Yes | 8c | 1,054$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…9f66backed Yes | 8c | 1,050$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…0fd4backed Yes | 8c | 1,050$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a94…34c7backed Yes | 8c | 1,041$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…5e80backed Yes | 8c | 1,031$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…03c8backed Yes | 8c | 1,030$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9924…363fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,030$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…efecbacked Yes | 8c | 1,020$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…0326backed Yes | 8c | 1,020$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…0959backed No | 79c | 940$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d4…be7cbacked No | 79c | 882$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 77c | 798.99$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.11 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75ec…be0ebacked Yes | 8c | 730$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b60…8b17backed Yes | 8c | 727$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…dc69backed Yes | 6c | 680$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2790…6ce3backed Yes | 5c | 675$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc56e…4805backed Yes | 6c | 667$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3568backed Yes | 5c | 667$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd72a…5ab8backed Yes | 7c | 664.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4b…30f2backed Yes | 6c | 664.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46db…15d2backed Yes | 5c | 657$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…c415backed Yes | 5c | 657$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090c…3c25backed Yes | 49c | 649$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b37…9b57backed Yes | 6c | 620$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ab…eef5backed Yes | 6c | 620$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe40b…aa50backed Yes | 5c | 620$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb74…2536backed Yes | 5c | 620$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb132…6943backed No | 79c | 569$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…e2c4backed Yes | 37c | 543.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10fc…442ebacked Yes | 5c | 530$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa43e…e914backed Yes | 5c | 530$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…8cb0backed Yes | 5c | 530$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…c76bbacked Yes | 5c | 530$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ba…e6cebacked No | 51c | 504$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff5…0fd9backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7d…aaa6backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x720b…e7dfbacked Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8216…9b1abacked Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b85…1259backed No | 80c | 376$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 19c | 288$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 68c | 286.23$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff2…68a2backed No | 67c | 266.02$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfd…6d5ebacked No | 79c | 251.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 20c | 237.69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2b…a065backed No | 51c | 201$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 74c | 200.27$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 16c | 190.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb23…db7ebacked Yes | 23c | 169$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed Yes | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 36c | 131.29$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 19c | 126.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 8cpaid | +128%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c69…ae6ebacked No | 80c | 120$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f48…e69bbacked Yes | 34c | 118$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 29c | 90.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 14c | 87.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9a…cc24backed No | 69c | 87$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9778…1d7bbacked Yes | 31c | 87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 40c | 85.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad05…fb3bbacked Yes | 18c | 72.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x907c…23c1backed Yes | 41c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 75c | 57.77$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 19c | 57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e2…7babbacked Yes | 49c | 56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed No | 46c | 54.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…692cbacked Yes | 19c | 53.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 65c | 37.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 124 | 25.8%32 W · 92 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe423…2492backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fe…549abacked Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6c…445fbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 74c | 14.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?this page
- Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by February 15?No won
- Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.