TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$828,783
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$826,239

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $828,783 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 407 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbd70…ccdbbacked No57c495,964$281,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214,565.151741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes43c186,397$79,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,482.8819253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Yes43c78,000$33,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,5401947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes36c51,170$18,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,669.436,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes47c31,364$14,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,761.5728242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes48c23,373$11,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,125.581,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes36c19,457$7,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,058.942,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd414…6a0cbacked No52c16,365$8,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,883.862650%13 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes43c15,051$6,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,459.072,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Yes47c15,000$7,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,049.993452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+32.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes47c10,585$4,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,974.9530143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes35c10,005$3,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,482.114,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbddd…3d9abacked Yes39c9,728$3,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,794.041163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No54c8,334$4,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,841.741,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes43c8,139$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,499.7785048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No54c6,000$3,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,76050644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Yes42c6,000$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,519.9913444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed No58c5,172$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,172.412157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe137…0c01backed Yes49c5,102$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5004438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Yes43c5,000$2,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,13014258.5%83 W · 59 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed No50c5,000$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,479.949256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes5c4,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019826.3%52 W · 146 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.9945936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes4c3,939$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.5326319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No52c3,777$1,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,823.0215748.4%76 W · 81 L+13.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2682…582abacked Yes42c3,384$1,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,421.195442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes43c3,333$1,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,433.1918259.3%108 W · 74 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32025544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,41024146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6df1…ea12backed No53c2,830$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.194358.1%25 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Yes43c2,749$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.076550.8%33 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked No52c2,726$1,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.573745.9%17 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked No54c2,593$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.591361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick43cpaid+65.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes42c2,500$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05072249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes9c2,421$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.91,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed No58c2,414$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.791457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5b1…072cbacked Yes42c2,400$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes43c2,326$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00049254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb016…ddaebacked Yes38c2,148$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Yes49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006543.1%28 W · 37 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No52c2,022$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.331,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa569…08dfbacked Yes48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9602733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Yes42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8405949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84021656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9208343.4%36 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12c6…0691backed No53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.994643.5%20 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa3b…d6b7backed No53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.992951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No53c1,867$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.6475850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes4c1,817$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.081,61534.9%564 W · 1,051 L-28.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Yes43c1,744$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7505752.6%30 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes44c1,628$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.0452454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes5c1,600$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8053134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3771…54b3backed Yes7c1,559$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.71323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick15cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes42c1,419$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6007833.3%26 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes33c1,382$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.561143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes47c1,300$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61122534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb902…8105backed Yes4c1,250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No51c1,226$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.7115944.7%71 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006136.1%22 W · 39 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Yes47c1,172$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.628448.8%41 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes45c1,120$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.9468942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No53c1,100$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.671,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1e8e…c986backed Yes47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Yes48c1,044$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011443.9%50 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes48c1,031$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017634.1%60 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3ce1…d753backed Yes48c1,030$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.232630.8%8 W · 18 L-4.6wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes43c1,024$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.3221253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97b5…42f9backed Yes28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28012746.5%59 W · 68 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed No53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4705149%25 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed Yes3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304131.7%13 W · 28 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick21cpaid+85.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4aef…22d9backed Yes46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4608348.2%40 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7250…f52fbacked Yes47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4706829.4%20 W · 48 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes45c999.99$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45011645.7%53 W · 63 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed No57c932.12$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.8120246.5%94 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed Yes43c928.54$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.094630.4%14 W · 32 L-6.2wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2c5f…ced0backed Yes43c908.78$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.782626.9%7 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick39cpaid+16.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes32c908$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.216548.5%80 W · 85 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1090…a501backed Yes43c905.16$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.222040%8 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+52%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Yes44c884.72$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.0920758%120 W · 87 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab30…d571backed Yes47c851.06$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid+24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5faf…76dfbacked Yes48c809.99$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.81250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes4c800.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.035313.2%7 W · 46 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4e6…0d1fbacked Yes47c800$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes29c774.65$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.5146943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ad…d8e2backed No54c770$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed No53c770$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.96055%33 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes4c751$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0410626.4%28 W · 78 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x288d…8705backed No52c750$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc690…bd15backed No54c730$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.8683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick56cpaid+49.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x505b…f71dbacked Yes42c714.29$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes44c713.95$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.521,16157.4%666 W · 495 L+40.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3287…3dc3backed Yes47c700$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+44.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes47c619.14$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29149544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes20c609$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.725052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Yes42c600$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25223258.2%135 W · 97 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes44c600$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26139948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb75e…5130backed Yes42c600$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-47.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa25b…1220backed Yes3c550.71$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick10cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes47c534$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.985064%32 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39a5…c9a1backed Yes47c531.91$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507229.2%21 W · 51 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.