Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16287adee581f291d94a73ad3aa9ff23f1d28a45b423ce80bd6b4f62edb8176a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $259,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $257,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $259,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Yes | 0c | 59,999$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.21 | 138 | 15.9%22 W · 116 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a6…254ebacked Yes | 1c | 13,113$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27e0…b09bbacked Yes | 2c | 7,390$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.22 | 68 | 8.8%6 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e0…3771backed Yes | 1c | 7,002$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbba…e651backed Yes | 1c | 5,994$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20cb…e2b0backed Yes | 2c | 5,658$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6904…ea7ebacked Yes | 2c | 4,180$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.88 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 9c | 4,000$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x001f…9cb5backed Yes | 1c | 3,650$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…567fbacked Yes | 9c | 3,586$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.4 | 361 | 13.3%48 W · 313 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…6342backed Yes | 1c | 3,472$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…6f51backed Yes | 1c | 3,452$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22fa…8135backed Yes | 1c | 3,327$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75de…98c0backed Yes | 3c | 2,877$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.93 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6316…6bbabacked Yes | 1c | 2,816$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +144.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e43…b356backed Yes | 0c | 2,445$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 178 | 18.5%33 W · 145 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…3eb6backed Yes | 1c | 2,278$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9119…138cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,033$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…6906backed Yes | 1c | 1,992$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 19c | 1,591$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.05 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 8c | 1,585$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.6 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes | 4c | 1,352$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.39 | 327 | 16.8%55 W · 272 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf262…c56dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,302$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.15 | 483 | 10.1%49 W · 434 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc9…ac05backed Yes | 11c | 1,258$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec20…3fb6backed Yes | 2c | 1,195$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e7…4a56backed Yes | 17c | 1,165$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,136$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.17 | 407 | 19.7%80 W · 327 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…3221backed Yes | 2c | 1,132$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 27c | 1,069$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.55 | 217 | 32.3%70 W · 147 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2d…f77fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,035$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 99 | 19.2%19 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 61c | 1,024$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.8 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked Yes | 30c | 1,021$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.18 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 918.3$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.27 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa340…f3d4backed Yes | 1c | 874.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +358.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 73c | 855.06$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.24 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 74c | 842.71$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.16 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 17c | 828.91$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.9 | 229 | 26.6%61 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1635…55d6backed Yes | 3c | 825.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed Yes | 3c | 809.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…f7d3backed Yes | 2c | 743.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 256 | 17.2%44 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e8…c488backed Yes | 15c | 659.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeab…d961backed Yes | 16c | 599.95$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…0667backed Yes | 3c | 582.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 2cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 64c | 545.5$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.18 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45dc…9179backed Yes | 13c | 517.68$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 9c | 461.57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 691 | 5.5%38 W · 653 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeacf…3c55backed Yes | 4c | 452$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 6c | 447.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd7…5c92backed Yes | 3c | 439.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f4…56c1backed Yes | 4c | 432.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6df…65b1backed Yes | 27c | 421.2$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed No | 64c | 413.18$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.73 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…1f3ebacked Yes | 5c | 408.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ea…02edbacked Yes | 6c | 377.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 135 | 11.9%16 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 42c | 360$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.21 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b24…f36abacked Yes | 38c | 341.43$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.82 | 192 | 29.2%56 W · 136 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…9498backed Yes | 11c | 326.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 72c | 316.99$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.77 | 264 | 61.7%163 W · 101 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes | 13c | 255.07$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 160 | 23.1%37 W · 123 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe875…8492backed Yes | 13c | 254.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4873…b9c2backed Yes | 11c | 230.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked Yes | 16c | 220.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 122 | 32.8%40 W · 82 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 73c | 207.6$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 9c | 202.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 491 | 6.7%33 W · 458 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249b…5df1backed No | 31c | 184.76$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.45 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 9c | 179.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 30c | 168.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 287 | 23.7%68 W · 219 L | -46.5wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -63%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…4cc9backed Yes | 8c | 160.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 195 | 27.7%54 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd91…6262backed Yes | 13c | 160.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58cb…3cd6backed Yes | 10c | 156.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 100 | 24%24 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03d4…64a7backed Yes | 8c | 143.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 57c | 134.11$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 336 | 70.2%236 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd952…c0ccbacked Yes | 19c | 115.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda8…4567backed Yes | 72c | 114.13$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 74cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ab…8a17backed Yes | 20c | 101.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…e64fbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 115 | 64.3%74 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3706…9462backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 23c | 99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 426 | 28.2%120 W · 306 L | -38.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 24c | 90$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…7f7fbacked Yes | 14c | 87.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x428e…87a5backed Yes | 19c | 80.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…fd50backed Yes | 18c | 78.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 156 | 31.4%49 W · 107 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 66c | 71.8$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2c…2657backed Yes | 29c | 69.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…55cabacked Yes | 17c | 66.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 117 | 30.8%36 W · 81 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89e1…5323backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 20c | 60.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 33c | 57.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 102 | 16.7%17 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…835dbacked Yes | 36c | 55.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 28c | 52.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…3716backed Yes | 28c | 51.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 442 | 27.4%121 W · 321 L | -21.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8215…1279backed No | 78c | 49.19$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed Yes | 53c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdb…e6a6backed Yes | 61c | 45.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…0e22backed Yes | 38c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c61…f58bbacked Yes | 38c | 29.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.