TailMyPicks
Wallet0x9cc9d7766000d621e39dc9865a9920b1f224ac05Check another

Wallet 0x9cc9…ac05

Rebuilt .

Summary

Where its weight is

Middle East

28 of its 59 qualified picks

54out of 100

Above the line at +0.03 per pick.

Its best Category

Weather

its best of 12 Categories scored

54out of 100

Above the line at +0.04 per pick.

8 below 50 · 4 at or above · 12 Categories scored

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Weather, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 54 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2832.1%9 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$519.99
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$971Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$971.48
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$323.77
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+708.8%+$1,508.24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.24
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$91.76
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+60%+$199.49
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$178
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$414.9
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$729Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$729
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$518Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$518.32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,078Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,077.73
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$540.09
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.94
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$744Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+246.6%+$1,835.84
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$146
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+151.4%+$383.3
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$102
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.84
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$116.76
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$820Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$670.82
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+33.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$380.79
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$561Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+594.8%+$3,338.51
Starmer out by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.55
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$103.95
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.34
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 100 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$47.79
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 70 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 70-84 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.09
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-50.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+37.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+162.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+424.5%+$177.63
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$315.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$975Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$974.79
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,311Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,311.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Moise Kouame win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,030Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,030.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$133
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.