Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x354280ff6e0c416fc5e43c011f18081b2badeab05da87efbc42104abed57720d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Yes | 2c | 8,466$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.64 | 138 | 15.9%22 W · 116 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…567fbacked Yes | 8c | 5,289$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.92 | 361 | 13.3%48 W · 313 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed No | 71c | 2,657$1,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.6 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 37c | 2,597$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.41 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ea…62c5backed No | 31c | 2,222$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.96 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 29cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked Yes | 20c | 1,660$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.56 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249b…5df1backed Yes | 31c | 1,455$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.44 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 59c | 1,200$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.25 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeacf…3c55backed Yes | 1c | 1,150$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48c5…89f3backed Yes | 68c | 1,008$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.85 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 23c | 934.18$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.53 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 76c | 902.55$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.14 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 24c | 821.06$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.92 | 229 | 26.6%61 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…6726backed Yes | 69c | 765$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.09 | 108 | 24.1%26 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…3221backed Yes | 65c | 722.47$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…6efebacked No | 41c | 668.54$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.52 | 79 | 15.2%12 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 9c | 604.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.11 | 114 | 18.4%21 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.09per pick | 10cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…7004backed Yes | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 5c | 585.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 217 | 32.3%70 W · 147 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 6c | 583.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8295…610cbacked Yes | 17c | 576.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…1a08backed Yes | 69c | 500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.53 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +119.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 484.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 67c | 464.75$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.65 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8007…a8f4backed Yes | 51c | 457.24$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.18 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 24c | 441.38$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.77 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9af8…b069backed Yes | 4c | 425.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a7b8backed Yes | 25c | 397.18$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 29c | 355.33$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.04 | 426 | 28.2%120 W · 306 L | -38.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f25…8a2fbacked Yes | 37c | 354.23$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.07 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…28a8backed Yes | 48c | 346.79$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.9 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…4967backed Yes | 65c | 338.93$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.97 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9955…85afbacked Yes | 64c | 314.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 183 | 57.9%106 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6231…84bbbacked Yes | 71c | 298.6$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.42 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes | 10c | 256.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 427 | 19.2%82 W · 345 L | +23.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x319b…f04ebacked Yes | 60c | 250$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.23 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Yes | 37c | 235.64$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.56 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes | 14c | 212.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 559 | 8.2%46 W · 513 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec4…f4a4backed No | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.4 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45dc…9179backed Yes | 27c | 192.55$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 31c | 191$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…4cc9backed No | 32c | 185$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.89 | 195 | 27.7%54 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58cb…3cd6backed No | 32c | 185$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.91 | 100 | 24%24 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cb…e2b0backed Yes | 65c | 178.38$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d95…5fe2backed Yes | 11c | 178.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b4…6b72backed Yes | 73c | 174.74$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed No | 41c | 173.22$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.17 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked Yes | 55c | 167.03$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 122 | 32.8%40 W · 82 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes | 60c | 165.72$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.69 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 65c | 154$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 26c | 147.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 407 | 19.7%80 W · 327 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 52c | 119.85$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.08 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 63c | 116.08$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.06 | 264 | 61.7%163 W · 101 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…da1fbacked No | 75c | 112.35$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ea…02edbacked Yes | 12c | 102.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 135 | 11.9%16 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0a…69a2backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…868cbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +101%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x061c…8b9abacked Yes | 28c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd9…b83cbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb58d…b858backed No | 48c | 99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +160.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 48c | 82.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…7f7fbacked Yes | 52c | 79.34$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 33c | 76.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.32 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde64…a821backed Yes | 56c | 71.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked Yes | 27c | 61.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b8…49c0backed Yes | 63c | 58.89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Yes | 70c | 57.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 205 | 32.7%67 W · 138 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…bb3fbacked Yes | 53c | 56.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16aa…505fbacked Yes | 51c | 56.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c33…f910backed Yes | 56c | 53.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked No | 33c | 52.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.21 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x211b…1872backed Yes | 54c | 51.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 442 | 27.4%121 W · 321 L | -21.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe342…2a23backed Yes | 37c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 75c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 115 | 64.3%74 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3875…a45ebacked Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d1…b57bbacked Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c61…f58bbacked No | 71c | 44.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa340…f3d4backed Yes | 28c | 41.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +358.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 72c | 41.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 245 | 24.9%61 W · 184 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 32c | 39.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 102 | 16.7%17 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0de…8795backed Yes | 74c | 36.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcab1…f7a5backed Yes | 69c | 29.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 57c | 25.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd840…1ec6backed Yes | 75c | 25.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa920…a07abacked Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 78c | 19.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.