Fifa International · resolved market
Will Cyprus win on 2026-03-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7adaca1163284609f6459aed4865ac046e41806ee2210066b9a520019243eaf1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $160,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 61c | 8,909$5,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,491.73 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 1c | 8,538$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.69 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 13c | 7,447$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.19 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 40c | 6,649$2,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,626.81 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Yes | 59c | 6,022$3,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.55 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 40c | 5,806$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.61 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 3c | 5,014$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.45 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 60c | 4,757$2,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.5 | 79 | 24.1%19 W · 60 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 16c | 3,364$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.28 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked No | 40c | 3,006$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 40c | 2,988$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.35 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 39c | 2,937$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.08 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 43c | 1,857$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.18 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Yes | 59c | 1,734$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.76 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 21c | 1,665$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.65 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 60c | 1,530$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.92 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 69c | 1,341$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.89 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Yes | 63c | 1,193$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.86 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed No | 38c | 1,115$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.98 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed No | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.96 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 37c | 1,086$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.94 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 36c | 1,002$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.39 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 29c | 979.97$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.29 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed No | 40c | 959.99$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 40c | 948.81$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.29 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9794…6831backed Yes | 72c | 943.1$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.47 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…13afbacked Yes | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed No | 36c | 795.44$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 38c | 745.41$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.26 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880f…8a04backed No | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 40c | 700.63$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.27 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751d…9f55backed Yes | 60c | 700.43$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 79c | 696$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.14 | 205 | 60%123 W · 82 L | +17.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccda…21f3backed No | 22c | 677.27$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 17c | 653.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.21 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes | 60c | 584.68$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.68 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 67c | 581.89$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.45 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 64c | 529.6$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.66 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 59c | 524.11$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.66 | 171 | 48.5%83 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 37c | 513$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.36 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 21c | 509.63$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.54 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 51c | 506$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.53 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Yes | 60c | 487.63$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.63 | 237 | 36.3%86 W · 151 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 37c | 485.46$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.62 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…814fbacked Yes | 65c | 480$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 34c | 454.74$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.75 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 39c | 447.36$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.53 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 65c | 440.2$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.47 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Yes | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 21c | 407$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.16 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 156 | 62.8%98 W · 58 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0004…80c7backed Yes | 56c | 399.97$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.99 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 41c | 393.36$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.92 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 47c | 357$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.79 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 42c | 355.26$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.42 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked No | 43c | 351.16$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked No | 46c | 346.97$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b46…8438backed Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 63c | 291.14$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.72 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed No | 41c | 284.79$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.06 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 42c | 278.5$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.97 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfedc…61d1backed No | 41c | 270$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.32 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 60c | 266.67$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…4d66backed Yes | 60c | 266.65$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.66 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad4f…abc4backed No | 43c | 265.51$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…f158backed Yes | 61c | 246.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.31 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebb5…ec99backed Yes | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 41c | 233$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.84 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed No | 48c | 225.21$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.1 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 7c | 218.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 60c | 217.6$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.04 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecf…9148backed Yes | 58c | 210.09$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 41c | 205.94$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.44 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 43c | 203$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.29 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed No | 47c | 195.74$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 40c | 192.19$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.89 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 42c | 182.17$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.54 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Yes | 53c | 180.29$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.54 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 39c | 180$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa360…cc8ebacked Yes | 65c | 172.31$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…d933backed No | 36c | 168.4$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…3c98backed Yes | 60c | 165.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.47 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +5.9wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…9a83backed No | 48c | 163.56$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Yes | 62c | 161.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.74 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f51…7b9ebacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x091f…672ebacked Yes | 60c | 160.52$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.21 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fa…4cf6backed Yes | 80c | 155.5$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 41c | 151.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.12 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed No | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 50c | 144.64$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.92 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabc3…afc9backed No | 43c | 140$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 46c | 139.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.2 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 42c | 127$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.31 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed3…859ebacked No | 43c | 127$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked No | 43c | 126.4$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.35 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e45…e6d9backed No | 43c | 126$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Yes | 80c | 125.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cyprus win on 2026-03-30?this page
- Will Cyprus vs. Moldova end in a draw?No won
- Will Moldova win on 2026-03-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.