Fifa International · resolved market
Will Cyprus vs. Moldova end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d0c07f86b54df33a5b23640a08de928a2e3a468b1971220a27c58663daac1db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 3c | 3,230$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.91 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 1,977$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.45 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 1,817$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.01 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Yes | 26c | 1,621$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.09 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…13afbacked Yes | 25c | 618.16$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.54 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes | 23c | 606.06$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.73 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 25c | 539.2$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.63 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Yes | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…814fbacked Yes | 23c | 488.17$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.28 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 26c | 351.48$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.67 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 75c | 347$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.53 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…f90dbacked Yes | 26c | 312.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…cec1backed Yes | 4c | 304.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc26c…ffddbacked Yes | 7c | 302$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.26per pick | 38cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 75c | 262$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 255.95$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.11 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 234.11$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.53 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 26c | 222$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 481 | 40.1%193 W · 288 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 78c | 219.36$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 24c | 198.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.91 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed No | 77c | 180.14$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…9164backed Yes | 7c | 175.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 76c | 148.02$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Yes | 13c | 147.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 75c | 140$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac95…5f12backed No | 77c | 140$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99d5…9622backed Yes | 16c | 94.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 74c | 92.34$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 80c | 85.55$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…52a2backed No | 75c | 84.7$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 24c | 82.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…fc3fbacked Yes | 26c | 70.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 76c | 67$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…de7cbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…8573backed Yes | 26c | 53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aea…eff2backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe96…4a6dbacked No | 77c | 48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 73cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 75c | 46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 74c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb5…8740backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x270d…a696backed No | 76c | 38.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 75c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 75c | 34.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…7379backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 76c | 20.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca5e…4a1cbacked No | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 78c | 16.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cyprus vs. Moldova end in a draw?this page
- Will Cyprus win on 2026-03-30?Yes won
- Will Moldova win on 2026-03-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.