Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10f09f05b6e5b7c5c72ffb8dbfa9415d1b9f4f88ed41cf6b0609af03d8c823f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $270,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $245,527
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $270,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 341 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb9c…072bbacked No | 24c | 21,803$5,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,599.9 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 16c | 12,481$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.83 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…08e8backed Yes | 70c | 5,000$3,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,479.99 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d4…c167backed No | 27c | 4,674$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,418.5 | 177 | 23.2%41 W · 136 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…af26backed Yes | 23c | 4,346$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.39 | 138 | 17.4%24 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed No | 32c | 4,136$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,792.83 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 73c | 4,114$2,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,995.29 | 144 | 13.9%20 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…f380backed No | 32c | 4,047$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,736.47 | 176 | 31.8%56 W · 120 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064b…eae5backed No | 38c | 3,763$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.93 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff9…05fdbacked No | 14c | 3,500$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010 | 164 | 27.4%45 W · 119 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed No | 13c | 3,182$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,777.68 | 115 | 12.2%14 W · 101 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes | 65c | 2,688$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.91 | 388 | 28.6%111 W · 277 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed No | 27c | 2,679$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.92 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…2ec7backed No | 44c | 2,557$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.08 | 142 | 19.7%28 W · 114 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…6558backed No | 73c | 2,388$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.4 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed No | 22c | 2,376$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,856.72 | 576 | 21.2%122 W · 454 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb7…9f50backed Yes | 40c | 2,234$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.17 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…9d4bbacked Yes | 58c | 2,160$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.09 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…a429backed Yes | 66c | 2,051$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.74 | 317 | 22.4%71 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e2…77e1backed Yes | 59c | 2,050$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.2 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 37c | 2,007$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.73 | 229 | 26.6%61 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed No | 26c | 2,007$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.92 | 880 | 17.3%152 W · 728 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb5…3f64backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…8c43backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2379…178ebacked No | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.98 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 64c | 1,998$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.96 | 316 | 21.8%69 W · 247 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 67c | 1,994$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.77 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 27c | 1,920$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.16 | 186 | 8.6%16 W · 170 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed Yes | 64c | 1,903$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.84 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…3c72backed No | 42c | 1,828$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.72 | 202 | 26.7%54 W · 148 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd82…396ebacked No | 13c | 1,806$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.03 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 6cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked No | 45c | 1,793$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.96 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +12.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 35c | 1,791$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.74 | 503 | 19.5%98 W · 405 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 65c | 1,732$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.77 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…d6fdbacked No | 42c | 1,668$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.23 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7e…3b66backed Yes | 40c | 1,599$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.28 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.94 | 83 | 20.5%17 W · 66 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes | 56c | 1,520$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.17 | 325 | 29.2%95 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…72c6backed Yes | 25c | 1,500$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 624 | 12.3%77 W · 547 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked No | 31c | 1,497$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.78 | 638 | 21.5%137 W · 501 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9c…9a07backed No | 18c | 1,448$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.85 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e7…1b38backed Yes | 53c | 1,320$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.57 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…7892backed Yes | 36c | 1,314$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x471a…0328backed Yes | 16c | 1,275$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.28 | 312 | 42.9%134 W · 178 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x102b…a7acbacked No | 17c | 1,263$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.72 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x696e…1c38backed No | 27c | 1,133$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.17 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…99c7backed Yes | 2c | 1,090$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 28c | 1,059$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.47 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f8…bfa5backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 96 | 26%25 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f00…487fbacked Yes | 36c | 999.99$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 280 | 16.4%46 W · 234 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea88…3818backed No | 9c | 999.97$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.98 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +51%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…e9f3backed No | 7c | 951.31$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.72 | 60 | 20%12 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…3559backed No | 75c | 926.23$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.31 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 48c | 844.97$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.59 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92bc…06bfbacked No | 66c | 790.75$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.97 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5088…8844backed No | 35c | 786.04$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.38 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fb…dad8backed Yes | 50c | 771.46$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.51 | 123 | 32.5%40 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4982…fe01backed Yes | 74c | 770.05$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.79 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33a…1e9fbacked No | 73c | 768.5$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.8 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddab…505ebacked Yes | 67c | 733.86$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.29 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fb…af41backed Yes | 71c | 712.99$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.22 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb816…9e90backed No | 60c | 702.96$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.42 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…18debacked Yes | 65c | 689.65$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.8 | 173 | 24.3%42 W · 131 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d3…71cfbacked No | 58c | 629.99$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.6 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0f…2154backed No | 33c | 614.11$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.95 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86ff…7bfdbacked Yes | 57c | 613.75$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.15 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x054c…ae95backed Yes | 64c | 603.19$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.66 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed No | 61c | 570.67$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.09 | 461 | 37.5%173 W · 288 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ba…d348backed No | 20c | 566.01$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.16 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x544a…dbe1backed No | 19c | 549.98$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.99 | 118 | 31.4%37 W · 81 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…00f7backed Yes | 74c | 537.99$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.11 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +57%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f34…89c7backed Yes | 56c | 523.58$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.38 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x091f…672ebacked Yes | 74c | 510.49$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.97 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -65%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…8345backed Yes | 70c | 508.08$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.8 | 151 | 36.4%55 W · 96 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca86…560cbacked Yes | 43c | 500$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30cf…704abacked Yes | 40c | 484.9$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.06 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…8121backed No | 21c | 471.21$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.01 | 488 | 19.3%94 W · 394 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201a…66a8backed Yes | 45c | 431.6$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.95 | 201 | 29.4%59 W · 142 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes | 74c | 419.07$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.86 | 187 | 26.7%50 W · 137 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb9…1418backed Yes | 52c | 418.56$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.18 | 259 | 44.4%115 W · 144 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf328…2b78backed Yes | 76c | 409.48$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.72 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3d…609cbacked Yes | 62c | 407.52$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9057…c12cbacked No | 10c | 400$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 124 | 24.2%30 W · 94 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76fa…3ff4backed Yes | 38c | 400$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…5762backed No | 40c | 396.05$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.44 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58cd…775abacked Yes | 15c | 367.3$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.79 | 386 | 14.2%55 W · 331 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b9…7023backed Yes | 49c | 365$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.5 | 222 | 27%60 W · 162 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…e92abacked Yes | 75c | 350.11$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.08 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b21…4235backed Yes | 52c | 350$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…d2f7backed Yes | 55c | 344.69$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617e…0ca3backed No | 30c | 343$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.57 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b24…f36abacked Yes | 58c | 336.8$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.38 | 192 | 29.2%56 W · 136 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 39c | 334.94$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.01 | 287 | 23.7%68 W · 219 L | -46.5wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -63%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7505…2978backed No | 14c | 323.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.11 | 169 | 41.4%70 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344a…1f8bbacked Yes | 72c | 317.99$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf366…425ebacked Yes | 53c | 317.12$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.55 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa471…8b84backed Yes | 19c | 316$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.08 | 114 | 24.6%28 W · 86 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…302dbacked Yes | 61c | 314.38$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.97 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeae1…65ecbacked No | 13c | 306.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.25 | 93 | 17.2%16 W · 77 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.