Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d507d0eda5906a8f958cde5055b9d4489c9af4c380718fb4c3e94cbc3855612
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $411,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $384,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $411,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 294 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd82…396ebacked No | 1c | 51,247$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 6cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…2917backed Yes | 13c | 5,500$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,805.25 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 38c | 4,579$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.73 | 144 | 13.9%20 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 38c | 3,713$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,313.15 | 535 | 22.6%121 W · 414 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 68c | 3,569$2,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.38 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes | 21c | 3,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,764.98 | 164 | 27.4%45 W · 119 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes | 18c | 3,239$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.99 | 638 | 21.5%137 W · 501 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064b…eae5backed No | 9c | 3,055$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.26 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…da67backed Yes | 18c | 3,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.99 | 538 | 17.3%93 W · 445 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eed…2050backed Yes | 20c | 2,833$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.84 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x828e…c21bbacked Yes | 13c | 2,792$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420.7 | 274 | 17.5%48 W · 226 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…a429backed Yes | 20c | 2,604$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.58 | 317 | 22.4%71 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 18c | 2,586$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,116 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 17c | 2,515$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.86 | 880 | 17.3%152 W · 728 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 64c | 2,461$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878 | 229 | 26.6%61 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…302dbacked No | 71c | 2,367$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.04 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb7…9f50backed Yes | 43c | 2,232$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.56 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…072bbacked Yes | 35c | 2,166$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.19 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed No | 20c | 2,150$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.93 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 24c | 2,140$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.7 | 316 | 21.8%69 W · 247 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2379…178ebacked Yes | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa14a…df2abacked Yes | 13c | 1,973$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.67 | 562 | 8.9%50 W · 512 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes | 24c | 1,952$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.83 | 285 | 26.7%76 W · 209 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked No | 7c | 1,900$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.37 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +12.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed Yes | 16c | 1,891$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.8 | 576 | 21.2%122 W · 454 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe133…6994backed Yes | 8c | 1,803$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.48 | 104 | 32.7%34 W · 70 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x102b…a7acbacked Yes | 17c | 1,689$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.05 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…6558backed Yes | 70c | 1,679$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.51 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 12c | 1,666$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 83 | 20.5%17 W · 66 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 39c | 1,500$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.03 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x620d…9f02backed Yes | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 14c | 1,500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea85…efe5backed Yes | 40c | 1,482$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.3 | 62 | 14.5%9 W · 53 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…9d4bbacked Yes | 28c | 1,479$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.93 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…3c72backed Yes | 35c | 1,441$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.39 | 202 | 26.7%54 W · 148 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x017b…1ef4backed No | 2c | 1,364$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 78 | 20.5%16 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…765abacked Yes | 74c | 1,338$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.92 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 71cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd13d…a958backed No | 1c | 1,315$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…7892backed Yes | 40c | 1,305$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…f380backed Yes | 34c | 1,246$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.41 | 176 | 31.8%56 W · 120 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…9c25backed No | 80c | 1,237$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe719…7ff8backed No | 79c | 1,200$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 17c | 1,151$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.01 | 1,067 | 8.3%89 W · 978 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…18debacked Yes | 51c | 1,140$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.48 | 173 | 24.3%42 W · 131 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce83…5b97backed No | 69c | 1,131$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…05fbbacked Yes | 15c | 1,111$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.4 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e2…77e1backed Yes | 17c | 1,110$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.3 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…5ea3backed Yes | 19c | 1,108$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.37 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 12c | 1,100$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.99 | 572 | 22%126 W · 446 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…2423backed Yes | 30c | 1,097$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.07 | 176 | 28.4%50 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 10c | 1,096$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.95 | 455 | 11.6%53 W · 402 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec3…c2a0backed No | 77c | 1,064$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.56 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9c…9a07backed Yes | 17c | 1,050$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.26 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 16c | 1,046$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.89 | 503 | 19.5%98 W · 405 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x813e…5d51backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 313 | 4.8%15 W · 298 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed7c…9400backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…72c6backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 624 | 12.3%77 W · 547 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…64f3backed Yes | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.99 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Yes | 12c | 987.07$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.97 | 87 | 5.7%5 W · 82 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes | 39c | 952.86$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.07 | 325 | 29.2%95 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…be13backed No | 2c | 907.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814f…aeecbacked Yes | 22c | 892.22$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.74 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a4…d091backed No | 10c | 873.52$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.34 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +254.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked No | 13c | 854.07$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.75 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 10c | 836.81$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.96 | 272 | 24.3%66 W · 206 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…77acbacked Yes | 12c | 829.2$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.06 | 159 | 25.2%40 W · 119 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked No | 7c | 823.77$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.49 | 89 | 15.7%14 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fb…dad8backed Yes | 15c | 799.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.99 | 123 | 32.5%40 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe43d…3978backed No | 80c | 731.28$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.49 | 200 | 25%50 W · 150 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a6…e544backed Yes | 38c | 698.28$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.62 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…eac8backed Yes | 26c | 688.1$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.55 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd7…b2dbbacked Yes | 20c | 683.26$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 14cpaid | +150.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7e…3b66backed Yes | 25c | 681.27$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.21 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 65c | 679.67$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.92 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 43c | 677.31$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.71 | 186 | 8.6%16 W · 170 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…8fcebacked Yes | 32c | 668.87$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.83 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3d…609cbacked Yes | 38c | 616.22$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 33c | 595.41$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.94 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4239…5dafbacked Yes | 48c | 591.29$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.11 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33d4…c167backed No | 17c | 578.29$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.29 | 177 | 23.2%41 W · 136 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 59c | 575.97$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.35 | 276 | 47.8%132 W · 144 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f34…89c7backed Yes | 57c | 559.04$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.8 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…2ec7backed No | 10c | 547.39$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 142 | 19.7%28 W · 114 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50a8…98edbacked Yes | 16c | 547.16$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.02 | 334 | 22.2%74 W · 260 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7505…2978backed No | 12c | 545.11$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.71 | 169 | 41.4%70 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c37…eee6backed No | 62c | 519$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.22 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…c831backed Yes | 18c | 515.24$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.45 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea88…3818backed No | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +51%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf37…2454backed Yes | 9c | 499.97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.98 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +81%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb9…1418backed Yes | 48c | 485.2$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.61 | 259 | 44.4%115 W · 144 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b9…0d39backed Yes | 23c | 485.2$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.55 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeab…d961backed Yes | 64c | 476.15$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.38 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf92d…a225backed Yes | 13c | 461.73$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.38 | 233 | 8.2%19 W · 214 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…c64dbacked Yes | 44c | 459.45$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.19 | 143 | 32.9%47 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf72…6378backed Yes | 10c | 455$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.5 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed Yes | 12c | 427.5$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.07 | 115 | 12.2%14 W · 101 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58cd…775abacked Yes | 11c | 402.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.93 | 386 | 14.2%55 W · 331 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb2…83b5backed Yes | 10c | 401.55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.59 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0a…0190backed No | 9c | 399.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 78 | 20.5%16 W · 62 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…e92abacked Yes | 62c | 396.61$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.9 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.