TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-04-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$140,345
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$135,806

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,345 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes29c64,386$18,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,713.91241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95de…c9b2backed No71c35,500$25,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,205450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No71c18,385$13,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,053.4542962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes44c16,488$7,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,244.341,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes39c13,193$5,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,987.4221251.9%110 W · 102 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No45c11,959$5,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,369.191,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No78c11,489$8,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,988.271,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes20c6,673$1,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,324.1881740.8%333 W · 484 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No61c4,462$2,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,708.2821132.7%69 W · 142 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No60c2,747$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,659.61,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No70c2,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4001040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed No77c1,845$1,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,420.6514540%58 W · 87 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No71c1,583$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.093,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes32c1,486$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.7520022.5%45 W · 155 L-13.1wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No46c1,140$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.965,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed No59c1,100$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6494637%17 W · 29 L-7.0wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-38.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes30c1,090$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.558,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed No79c999.99$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.991457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes26c961.54$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.549956.6%56 W · 43 L+12.3wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed No34c892.89$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3035125.5%13 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-37.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes39c760.2$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.312,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed No41c737.86$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006731.3%21 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No38c706.92$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.0116740.1%67 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No60c672.4$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.441,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes63c599.6$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.711,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No71c576.44$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.011,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No61c521.39$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.41,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes26c425.49$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.953,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No75c400$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020846.6%97 W · 111 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No70c390.33$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.7241256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No70c389.67$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.2612361.8%76 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No70c388.22$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.2433560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No71c368.22$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.291,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No6c367.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.366119.7%12 W · 49 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes28c362.31$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.1716534.5%57 W · 108 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No70c359.75$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.371,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ab…c40ebacked No59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Yes27c337.92$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.7218859%111 W · 77 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No71c333$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.431,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes25c316.31$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.8326160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Yes26c295.42$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.819056.3%107 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No55c289.29$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.2118338.8%71 W · 112 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No22c279.35$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0436339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ec5…4168backed Yes73c274.11$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.11475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe803…0416backed Yes18c272$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2222528%7 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No71c268.27$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.1928158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f55…4213backed Yes20c250$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+60.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed No47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed No71c187.69$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.746558.5%38 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No77c180$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.655155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf08b…7e76backed Yes68c177.29$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.294562.2%28 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked No59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003467.6%23 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed No59c169.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.719457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fdc…2234backed Yes39c168.83$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.993650%18 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+40.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Yes39c160.88$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.6916255.6%90 W · 72 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1608…eeb8backed No77c157$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.896369.8%44 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick75cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No71c150.56$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8963657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked No51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.57839.7%31 W · 47 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed No48c141$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.485042%21 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No78c120.95$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.351,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dcc…c9a8backed No77c119.99$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.3930%0 W · 3 L-2.3wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No48c119.69$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8817857.3%102 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed No68c114.32$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.253764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked No49c111$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.156036.7%22 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked No59c110.24$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.046357.1%36 W · 27 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes43c106.74$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9284943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed No68c103.1$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5716160.9%98 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ea3…71a1backed Yes33c102.23$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.191872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+44.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked Yes35c99.32$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.823953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb651…4a7cbacked No79c90$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.14163.4%26 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No74c90$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.68261%50 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked No23c88.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.324461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked No67c85.43$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.114866.7%32 W · 16 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes64c84.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.471,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x776c…8863backed Yes24c83.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+108.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No39c83.01$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6794848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x091f…672ebacked Yes66c82.89$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.181050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b5f…cec5backed No77c79.62$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No71c78.24$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.92,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed No60c75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8519050.5%96 W · 94 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb882…fcabbacked No59c72.88$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed No71c70.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507957%45 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked No71c68.79$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8416653.6%89 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked No59c67.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2be3…48dfbacked Yes72c67.75$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.97911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.22per pick33cpaid-84.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked No72c66.25$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.711448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb71…288ebacked Yes20c64.78$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.822185.7%18 W · 3 L+5.1wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+48.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Yes55c63.8$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5629362.5%183 W · 110 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc202…8488backed Yes71c63.1$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.31266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+78.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5545…9d86backed No46c62.13$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.511136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed No77c61.04$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4713050.8%66 W · 64 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x843e…e477backed Yes62c58.78$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.152352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85b8…9d57backed Yes22c57.46$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.792669.2%18 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Yes23c57$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.89560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+78.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No70c54.84$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.636757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed No77c54.67$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.19953.5%53 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Yes76c54.16$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.810250%51 W · 51 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No39c53.96$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0971619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x63c3…a7fdbacked Yes27c53.46$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.892373.9%17 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+24.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Yes29c53.26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.938964%57 W · 32 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.