South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF Cruz Azul vs. CF Pachuca end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f127187c1eab8d4cc02ed818e18bf62103db644ab60d51012bd1750b630d67e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 5,381$3,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.29 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 38c | 2,029$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.2 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 73c | 1,495$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.65 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 1,433$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.45 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 27c | 983.17$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.97 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 698.75$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.57 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 25c | 600.67$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.46 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 27c | 563.15$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 3c | 508.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 479.31$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.91 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 14c | 417.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.33 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 26c | 362.31$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.2 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 74c | 360.26$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.86 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 28c | 357.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…6eacbacked Yes | 9c | 253.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Yes | 27c | 250.37$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 27c | 250.37$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 27c | 250.37$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae7b…aec1backed Yes | 27c | 250.37$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 27c | 250.37$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Yes | 27c | 250.37$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes | 27c | 250.37$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 27c | 250.37$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed No | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be3…48dfbacked Yes | 25c | 203.24$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.81 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed No | 73c | 189$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.03 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 12c | 146$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 30c | 119.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ad…d3fbbacked Yes | 27c | 116.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 105.81$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Yes | 27c | 100.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 34c | 89.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Yes | 28c | 89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked No | 66c | 85$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Yes | 27c | 79.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f55…4213backed No | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 35c | 76.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 71c | 73.36$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…259fbacked Yes | 27c | 64.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 25c | 64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 26c | 58.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 67c | 57.95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 36c | 55.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 35c | 50.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Yes | 26c | 46.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 72c | 46.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 30c | 46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…8573backed Yes | 26c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Yes | 26c | 41.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 32c | 40.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b24…bc3cbacked Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed No | 62c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked No | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 62c | 32.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…e04dbacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked No | 66c | 21.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…678cbacked No | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 76cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Cruz Azul vs. CF Pachuca end in a draw?this page
- Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-04-04?No won
- Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-04-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.