TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-04-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$130,720
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$131,768

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,720 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3fd9…1ef0backed No55c66,503$36,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,987.21241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes26c33,737$8,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,842.051,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes45c19,279$8,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,675.5542962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes45c7,769$3,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4791,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes45c6,076$2,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,746.073,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes47c4,733$2,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,243.554936.7%18 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No72c4,287$3,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,195.65,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes54c3,364$1,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,811.981,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No76c1,826$1,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.378,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes45c1,667$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7505354.7%29 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes56c1,500$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84020046%92 W · 108 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes45c1,390$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.448321.7%18 W · 65 L-12.7wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-46.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf38d…18cebacked No54c1,390$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.82450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Yes45c1,191$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5361450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No76c1,160$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.1733560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked No66c1,108$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.610456.7%59 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes47c1,026$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.071,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes45c940$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42313049.2%64 W · 66 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes19c890.64$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.4320022.5%45 W · 155 L-13.1wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No69c870.99$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.1516255.6%90 W · 72 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked No72c828.4$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.477857.7%45 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes45c808.24$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.7128158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked No71c763.73$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.59361.3%57 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed No72c757.78$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.943764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes23c691$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.487839.7%31 W · 47 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes45c675.76$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.0936757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes46c656.3$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.081,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Yes25c639$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.135042%21 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Yes45c616$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.214540%58 W · 87 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No69c609.68$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.811,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x518b…cf8abacked Yes20c599.99$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.995856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No61c577.25$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.1318160.2%109 W · 72 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes20c546$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.656036.7%22 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No72c515.74$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1432,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No69c504.4$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.3699259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed No68c470.68$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.5216160.9%98 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked No80c425.27$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.717660.5%46 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes7c424.74$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.023,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes45c414.96$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.7316653.6%89 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bfc…18e3backed Yes52c403.85$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2102744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Yes38c400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18420846.6%97 W · 111 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf69a…2f2dbacked Yes52c398.77$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.19650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No54c372.08$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.0918154.7%99 W · 82 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes45c362.31$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.0416534.5%57 W · 108 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No57c325.24$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.2617857.3%102 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No64c310.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.2963657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13533745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf69c…44dbbacked Yes51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502850%14 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes45c289.29$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.1826160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes45c288.2$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.621,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked No63c251.28$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.736369.8%44 W · 19 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+24.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed No74c245.79$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.846558.5%38 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes50c230.61$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.912,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked No67c225.12$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.244374.4%32 W · 11 L+6.7wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+35.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked No54c183.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8619955.8%111 W · 88 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x034e…f79dbacked Yes8c180.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.571010%1 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick26cpaid-73.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes49c173.25$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.51,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No58c171.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.3118859%111 W · 77 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No71c166.01$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7184943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No64c162.94$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.941,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked No62c160.7$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.74866.7%32 W · 16 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xae7b…aec1backed No63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.732853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed No63c154.48$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.562766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Yes45c151.18$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0333266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3222…2823backed Yes20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked No70c149.04$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.277437.8%28 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed No60c144$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.168554.1%46 W · 39 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8fb…28dabacked Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2af3…7246backed Yes9c128.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22e8…8435backed No79c126.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.513050%15 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed No44c120.93$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.729953.5%53 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Yes45c120.2$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0919056.3%107 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed No44c118.18$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.185050%25 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes49c116.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.331,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cef…f3babacked Yes10c111.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-53.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes45c110.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.372,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed No62c110.01$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.218964%57 W · 32 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513335.3%47 W · 86 L-14.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed No44c107.1$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9813050.8%66 W · 64 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked No55c100.55$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5615654.5%85 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Yes56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.51580%12 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+49.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5751654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd754…7857backed Yes45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4530%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x700f…a69bbacked Yes36c99.88$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.96616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-66%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed No65c98.08$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9316459.8%98 W · 66 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce06…c99dbacked No72c96.85$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.822369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ea3…71a1backed No78c95.62$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.591872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+44.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes46c94.64$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.531,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No55c94.21$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6481740.8%333 W · 484 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeb7…a4b4backed Yes45c88.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4040%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked No71c87.69$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.363953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed Yes61c85$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.857943%34 W · 45 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked No59c84.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.424761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No44c81.75$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.153666.7%24 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes21c71.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.271936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick27cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85ad…d3fbbacked No70c71.73$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.732860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8d6…4af7backed Yes42c71.4$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.99650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb1a…5cddbacked No71c67.61$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.832268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e9f…5403backed Yes45c67.03$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.163773%27 W · 10 L+6.8wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+32.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.