TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Belgium win on 2026-03-31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$175,793
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$173,929

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,793 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 409 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes48c23,914$11,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,478.9321343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed No52c21,865$11,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,495.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No68c21,847$14,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,976.176048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No52c20,514$10,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,932.651,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No55c10,651$5,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,823.574,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes49c10,395$5,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,042.937924.1%19 W · 60 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes47c7,244$3,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,381.9917338.2%66 W · 107 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Yes48c6,300$3,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,023.961656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Yes28c5,146$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.824641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,96022451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x555c…319ebacked Yes50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4e…5104backed Yes25c3,520$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.753644.4%16 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Yes44c3,002$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.2510234.3%35 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8b…e0dbbacked Yes50c2,393$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.9862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes45c2,359$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.8722834.6%79 W · 149 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No51c2,166$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.7435942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Yes48c2,140$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.0229646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes14c2,048$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.541030%3 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No71c2,027$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.383,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf52…555ebacked Yes50c2,013$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003941%16 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.995158.8%30 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No55c1,891$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.7950850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes15c1,790$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.0314132.6%46 W · 95 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No55c1,746$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.2946536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes34c1,722$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.996333.3%21 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed No60c1,590$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.693354.5%18 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+35.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes22c1,509$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.719145.1%41 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No57c1,405$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.8586455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No53c1,400$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.788748.3%42 W · 45 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No54c1,373$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.5136850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No52c1,145$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.773959%23 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No52c1,130$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.73,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed No56c1,090$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.575635.7%20 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefa3…d08bbacked No52c1,069$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.278349.4%41 W · 42 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Yes47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013746.7%64 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes48c1,045$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No57c1,023$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.9110558.1%61 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes35c1,010$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.5842043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes33c1,003$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.3316341.1%67 W · 96 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No54c1,001$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.7488838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked No50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No52c961.19$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.351,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked No60c955.57$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.434173.2%30 W · 11 L+11.0wins+0.27per pick46cpaid+78.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No52c918.85$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.1555045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No56c899.39$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.463847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked No51c870.68$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.716947.8%33 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes21c868.77$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.564,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf962…5cb1backed Yes39c824.75$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.532470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe05d…b812backed Yes49c816.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1036…fb48backed Yes52c805.5$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.112236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked No52c786$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.287356.2%41 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes48c775.82$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36922448.2%108 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes48c769.42$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.8717148.5%83 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes25c767.74$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.332,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No59c734.34$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.0445947.7%219 W · 240 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Yes48c729.17$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3503221.9%7 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-41.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No53c728.1$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.441451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes47c727.65$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34223949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes54c714.07$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.1418740.6%76 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked No52c700$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3364252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No54c678.76$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.0737144.5%165 W · 206 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No52c663.94$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.214948.3%72 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No56c654.53$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.5445039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2946331.7%20 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No51c599.96$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.9821957.5%126 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a97…72ebbacked No52c578.22$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.997266.7%48 W · 24 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No52c576.72$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.9223749.8%118 W · 119 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Yes48c521.21$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.1825532.9%84 W · 171 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca75…6c97backed Yes36c514.8$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.992236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-26.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a11…b974backed Yes44c500$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked No51c499.97$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.9824028.8%69 W · 171 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8142…f311backed Yes46c499.52$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.7510245.1%46 W · 56 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe339…a166backed Yes46c494.99$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.691637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-43%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x431e…5079backed Yes41c465.81$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.36446.9%30 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x886e…afd6backed No52c461.54$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.541844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x109e…0a59backed Yes26c461.25$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.451435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No53c451.72$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.3524653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No63c430.87$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.992,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0410…b274backed Yes49c427.93$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015654.5%85 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x010f…6c1abacked Yes47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3901…d0e2backed No52c418$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.4955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes48c417.39$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20036349.3%179 W · 184 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b41…764cbacked Yes49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+34.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0200…21f2backed Yes49c407.39$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa991…62c7backed No50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+45.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked No53c398.18$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.3210958.7%64 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa6…cbb7backed No53c378.3$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-36.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No65c348$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.220560%123 W · 82 L+17.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd82f…aba0backed Yes46c347.79$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1609552.6%50 W · 45 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3166…62a2backed No52c343.62$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.62850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+40.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed No51c339.21$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.215843.1%25 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x510a…6cacbacked Yes22c334.53$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.971533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfedc…61d1backed No54c328.27$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.019855.1%54 W · 44 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No66c324.18$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.018040%32 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed No52c306.95$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.8715448.1%74 W · 80 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbafb…2468backed Yes49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-49.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed Yes16c305.7$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.912931%9 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes34c305.35$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10415445.5%70 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes17c303.83$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9311221.4%24 W · 88 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.