TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Mexico win on 2026-03-31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$133,070
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$143,795

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,070 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes28c17,688$4,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,958.567924.1%19 W · 60 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No69c17,077$11,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,243.114,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No74c12,216$8,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,223.4676048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Yes25c11,995$2,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,958.714355.8%24 W · 19 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No73c11,344$8,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,114.241,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes28c10,846$3,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,051.8717338.2%66 W · 107 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd57d…80d0backed Yes27c7,000$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,890812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick26cpaid-79.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No73c6,138$4,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,657.3221343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes26c5,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.984353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3901…d0e2backed No74c3,780$2,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.8955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6006…13afbacked Yes64c3,103$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.972748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Yes24c3,090$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.694641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No72c2,912$2,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.7910558.1%61 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No71c2,267$1,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.2142043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes27c2,157$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.3260511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No72c2,100$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5888357.8%48 W · 35 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+77.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No72c2,095$1,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.627859%46 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes21c1,709$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.149145.1%41 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No71c1,646$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.5936850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No72c1,616$1,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.261,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked No75c1,530$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.278559.7%469 W · 316 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No72c1,406$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.082,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6496…09d0backed Yes14c1,206$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.676637.9%25 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid-8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes23c1,201$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.456333.3%21 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed No76c1,175$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.213354.5%18 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+35.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No73c1,138$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.683,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No72c1,111$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.1128545.3%129 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ccd…1ec9backed Yes27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2704936.7%18 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes32c967.7$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.7720560%123 W · 82 L+17.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No45c921$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.5522656.6%128 W · 98 L+18.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No72c800.7$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.382,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No73c795.6$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.1945039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No37c676.18$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.894250%21 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No79c638.53$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.731,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No71c636.1$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.2545947.7%219 W · 240 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked No72c627.78$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.78955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No74c596.47$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.2341451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No74c578.27$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.4350850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No66c572.38$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.4437144.5%165 W · 206 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No74c554.58$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.8786455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd16…649cbacked Yes27c542.89$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No73c534.05$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.195158.8%30 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9901…6adbbacked Yes25c528.7$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1342552%13 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Yes20c499.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002626.9%7 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x648f…fc85backed Yes34c481.93$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.198125.9%21 W · 60 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Yes31c468$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.1310234.3%35 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No74c461.55$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12014948.3%72 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bfc…18e3backed Yes22c460.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe64b…9cf1backed No80c460.18$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f6b…2a84backed Yes27c444.44$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202737%10 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd40b…429abacked Yes26c426.14$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.781136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick29cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No74c416.46$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.4323749.8%118 W · 119 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No74c400$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10421140.3%85 W · 126 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0312…e670backed Yes22c394$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No73c389.91$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.288040%32 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes40c386.33$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.934,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No73c379.99$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.5955045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032b…603dbacked Yes36c371.07$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.254337.2%16 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No75c364.7$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.783847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed No73c363.01$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.01862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No68c347.75$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.5846536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9805…08f9backed Yes18c346.61$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.04933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-34%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No73c343.86$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.2524653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a97…72ebbacked No74c337.94$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.987266.7%48 W · 24 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes55c327$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.5714132.6%46 W · 95 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No72c326.5$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.423,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aba…94aebacked No37c321.62$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.622466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4e4…2ed6backed Yes25c313$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.732722.2%6 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-54.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No68c299.8$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.9422834.6%79 W · 149 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No75c297.89$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.6423751.1%121 W · 116 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005950.8%30 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1998…be8cbacked Yes35c283.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked No73c278.31$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4710958.7%64 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed No74c263$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.38450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49b1…fd38backed No80c260$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.23256.3%18 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No71c248.82$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.3416755.1%92 W · 75 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No71c246$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.3459752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed No73c243$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.61666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No77c239.22$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.838163%51 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes22c235.25$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0516116.8%27 W · 134 L-16.9wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-45.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No72c230.29$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.471,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked No73c224$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.48580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+47.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes28c220$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.512825.8%33 W · 95 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No73c207.56$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.893,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…9a30backed Yes29c205.72$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3828127.8%78 W · 203 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d61…fc02backed Yes27c203.63$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed No74c201.68$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4417148.5%83 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c93…8967backed No72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564355.8%24 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No66c197.33$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3328754.7%157 W · 130 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf69c…44dbbacked Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506344.4%28 W · 35 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ee0…1006backed Yes27c183.46$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.521633.8%73 W · 143 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46e5…79f3backed No79c182$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f52…eb8bbacked Yes11c169.73$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.673020%6 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003336.4%12 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa038…3fcbbacked Yes31c160.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-62.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb32e…a46abacked Yes24c155$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.25244.2%23 W · 29 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+26.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No74c152.5$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7625554.5%139 W · 116 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed No73c148$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.96785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick52cpaid+90.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.