TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Mexico vs. Belgium end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,108
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,089

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,108 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No74c4,142$3,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,077.114,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes33c3,044$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,042.3676048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No58c2,859$1,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,668.6542043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6006…13afbacked Yes25c1,828$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,371.072748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed No59c1,592$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.284641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes25c1,096$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.9746536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes31c999.99$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.6422656.6%128 W · 98 L+18.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes38c991.3$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.616331.7%20 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No69c830.91$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.642,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes68c746.13$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.81771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes26c731.35$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.21,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No74c699.23$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.2435942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes27c651.74$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.7722834.6%79 W · 149 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No64c635.78$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.5914132.6%46 W · 95 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No76c620.76$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.9137144.5%165 W · 206 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1036…fb48backed Yes27c598.61$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.612236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes25c500$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3751030%3 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes26c495.15$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.3920186.1%173 W · 28 L+46.2wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+49.1%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0xfe8b…e0dbbacked Yes75c486.65$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.66862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked No49c469$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.079145.1%41 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No60c450.21$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.9516341.1%67 W · 96 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes31c428.73$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.73,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No70c418.83$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.0645947.7%219 W · 240 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30018740.6%76 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes30c354.84$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.582,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No73c299.64$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.696333.3%21 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x648f…fc85backed Yes23c292.43$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.468125.9%21 W · 60 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes30c279.6$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.324173.2%30 W · 11 L+11.0wins+0.27per pick46cpaid+78.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No74c274.54$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.6617338.2%66 W · 107 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a2f…c5d0backed No61c245.9$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501681.3%13 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick72cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Yes28c242$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.2410234.3%35 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes29c233$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1662,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No74c217$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9755045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No74c207.22$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.431,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0542…e195backed Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1504042.5%17 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf66…3436backed Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1504725.5%12 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes25c199.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.6188838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes39c199.27$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.1328754.7%157 W · 130 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd6…c9c3backed Yes26c192.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.311540%6 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick24cpaid+49.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ee0…1006backed Yes26c190.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.8821633.8%73 W · 143 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd82f…aba0backed Yes27c188.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.659552.6%50 W · 45 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.192931%9 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No72c172.03$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.8618452.7%97 W · 87 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5abb…5a2fbacked Yes47c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c69…51cabacked Yes26c150$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1115024%12 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick21cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes26c139.63$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.333,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes25c135.84$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5439621%83 W · 313 L-0.8wins0.00per pick21cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked No48c129.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.512540%10 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9269…5eb8backed Yes24c125.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.632157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+32.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc99c…5c6bbacked Yes41c123.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.14250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No40c121.27$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.454,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No75c115.28$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0517158.5%100 W · 71 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked No75c115.28$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0510958.7%64 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No75c114.17$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0524653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No75c114.17$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0523749.8%118 W · 119 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No75c111.17$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.8650850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No75c108.44$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8686455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes24c105.58$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.5814422.2%32 W · 112 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-42.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a2b…c97cbacked No74c100$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74875%6 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed Yes25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xea7b…5b6dbacked Yes25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753324.2%8 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes33c98.9$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.622836.4%83 W · 145 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes36c98.15$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.738040%32 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf935…bc1cbacked Yes77c97.28$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.282860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked No75c89.3$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0920156.2%113 W · 88 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No76c88.72$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0941451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fc…38d5backed Yes24c88.62$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.355651.8%29 W · 27 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No76c88.2$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.093847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a97…72ebbacked No76c88.2$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.097266.7%48 W · 24 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes37c81.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3317851.1%91 W · 87 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab69…2283backed Yes38c77.67$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.37560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes25c77$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7524537.1%91 W · 154 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb2a…7ec6backed Yes26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.92633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc112…d1efbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.923633.3%12 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43ba…6f8abacked Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.074022.5%9 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No75c73.34$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.927745.1%125 W · 152 L-19.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd790…a24ebacked Yes27c72.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.75728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick22cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3435…a117backed Yes27c70.44$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.422634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3222…2823backed Yes44c63.64$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.641741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No73c62.69$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.769842.9%42 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No58c62.39$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9645039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed No73c59.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.814763.9%94 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2a3…00afbacked Yes26c57.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.692835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes27c57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.617924.1%19 W · 60 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No53c55.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.593959%23 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfedc…61d1backed No73c55.94$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.779855.1%54 W · 44 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60e8…50c2backed No36c55.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f52…eb8bbacked Yes77c51.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.953020%6 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No75c51.31$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3725554.5%139 W · 116 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa264…b063backed Yes43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9d…743dbacked Yes45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.44955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf13b…3b62backed No74c42.43$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No72c41$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6216755.1%92 W · 75 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No39c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.615445.5%70 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37d5…728fbacked Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309752.6%51 W · 46 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No63c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257034.3%24 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbefe…2d45backed Yes39c36.72$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.47443.2%32 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b68…9863backed Yes51c35.12$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.21742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bd…6cecbacked Yes32c34.4$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.392454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18cc…b71dbacked Yes59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.