TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbe9d…743d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: La Liga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 55 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.27
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+66.5%+$27.95
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+302.4%+$108.87
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.06
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$20.21
Will Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.18
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$89.55
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+73.6%+$35.88
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$30.18
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$22.72
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.83
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+35.1%+$52.7
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$23.95
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES Playoffsbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$39.2
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+74%+$59.21
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.39
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.45
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$31.22
LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.68
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Play-Inbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+244.8%+$48.97
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+56.3%+$17.44
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+69.5%+$13.9
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.69
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+123%+$43.06
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$33.39
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$22.72
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+65.5%+$46.72
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$25
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Valencia CF vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+81.8%+$10.78
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+81.8%+$18.17
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+216.6%+$43.31
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$23.66
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.4
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+212.5%+$63.75
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+170.3%+$170.27
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$467.55
Will Slovenia vs. Cyprus end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$106.18
Will Andorra vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.63
Andorra vs. Liechtenstein: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Will Austria vs. Tunisia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Canada vs. Tunisia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$44.27
Will Mexico vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$35.45
Will Germany win on 2026-03-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$10.43
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.03
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.