Fifa International · resolved market
Andorra vs. Liechtenstein: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55e2210dc226d7f1c2e6454c0a7ff423e1652a17b89d0aa4bc6c9bd4aa9c2e87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,978
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,978 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 1c | 3,711$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 2,087$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.6 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 36c | 1,761$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.62 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 27c | 1,379$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.69 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcf…e455backed Over | 69c | 1,219$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.87 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 1,129$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.43 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Under | 31c | 842.16$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.07 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 54c | 749.99$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Under | 58c | 692.54$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.78 | 226 | 39.4%89 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 42c | 639.74$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over | 31c | 638.71$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.71 | 302 | 20.2%61 W · 241 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 47c | 521.53$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.72 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 246 | 49.2%121 W · 125 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 66c | 472.26$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.49 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 78c | 370$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.82 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Over | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 148 | 66.9%99 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 57c | 314.36$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.61 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Over | 32c | 305.84$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.97 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Over | 55c | 288.35$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.68 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcab9…baf6backed Over | 69c | 272.41$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.49 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 40c | 269.88$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.79 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 37c | 267$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Under | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Over | 32c | 191.53$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.24 | 197 | 13.7%27 W · 170 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 40c | 178$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 47c | 174.66$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.57 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9d…743dbacked Under | 71c | 172.22$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 39c | 155$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.45 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 61c | 137.95$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.95 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 41c | 135.34$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.49 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…7656backed Under | 78c | 128.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…4575backed Over | 31c | 127.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.96 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under | 40c | 122.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Under | 45c | 116$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 32c | 109.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 35c | 108.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe8…3f2cbacked Over | 51c | 108.75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa681…8b89backed Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 270 | 28.9%78 W · 192 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 315 | 53%167 W · 148 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ca…da6abacked Under | 78c | 95.91$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.81 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 40c | 90.72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 29c | 87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 296 | 39.9%118 W · 178 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 282 | 40.8%115 W · 167 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Under | 70c | 64.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 152 | 57.9%88 W · 64 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Over | 79c | 62.11$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 178 | 27.5%49 W · 129 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Over | 58c | 55.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 187 | 64.2%120 W · 67 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 30c | 54.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 40c | 54.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…24f3backed Over | 52c | 51.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 158 | 45.6%72 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 45c | 51.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 327 | 40.7%133 W · 194 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Under | 36c | 48.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 359 | 54%194 W · 165 L | +20.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 60c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x554a…74d2backed Under | 66c | 45.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…2a51backed Over | 37c | 40.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Over | 40c | 37.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | +25.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Over | 40c | 37.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +34.7wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +61%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked Under | 55c | 34.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 135 | 48.1%65 W · 70 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 54c | 32.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…d0a6backed Under | 52c | 27.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 53c | 21.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 341 | 2.9%10 W · 331 L | -132.4wins | -0.39per pick | 42cpaid | -94%equal weight | 10-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…839bbacked Under | 63c | 17.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Andorra vs. Liechtenstein: O/U 1.5this page
- Andorra vs. Liechtenstein: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Andorra vs. Liechtenstein: O/U 0.5Over won
- Andorra vs. Liechtenstein: O/U 2.5Under won
- Andorra vs. Liechtenstein: O/U 3.5Under won
- Andorra vs. Liechtenstein: O/U 4.5Under won
- Andorra vs. Liechtenstein: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Andorra (-1.5)Andorra won
- Spread: Andorra (-2.5)Liechtenstein won
- Spread: Liechtenstein (-1.5)Andorra won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.