Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Andorra (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd131c2a9b02e875e260e071829cd2c73152e6e5c527a6a9bed658ae0cd30a5cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andorraof Andorra, Liechtenstein
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,943
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,943 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x24ae…4c80backed Andorra | 26c | 1,012$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.91 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | +20.7wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Andorra | 36c | 999.97$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.98 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Andorra | 28c | 952$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.44 | 326 | 56.1%183 W · 143 L | +29.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Andorra | 33c | 900.88$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.59 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…1e15backed Andorra | 33c | 750.5$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.5 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Liechtenstein | 64c | 397$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.08 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5353…51b9backed Andorra | 19c | 324.6$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.82 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Andorra | 24c | 300$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Liechtenstein | 72c | 272.78$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.68 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Andorra | 68c | 264.32$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.29 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Liechtenstein | 71c | 243$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.98 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Andorra | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Liechtenstein | 64c | 195$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Andorra | 34c | 150.73$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.26 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Andorra | 28c | 146.05$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.26 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Andorra | 25c | 145.54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.26 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Andorra | 9c | 133.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.33 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Liechtenstein | 64c | 126.88$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…1184backed Andorra | 20c | 125$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Liechtenstein | 67c | 120$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Liechtenstein | 64c | 119.55$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.51 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Liechtenstein | 67c | 117$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.32 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Liechtenstein | 67c | 106$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.02 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Liechtenstein | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.82 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…75efbacked Liechtenstein | 64c | 96$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +229.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56d0…8a4abacked Andorra | 32c | 96$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Liechtenstein | 43c | 80.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Andorra | 22c | 78.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.41 | 249 | 35.3%88 W · 161 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Liechtenstein | 58c | 72.62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.15 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Liechtenstein | 67c | 68.35$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.79 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…2a51backed Andorra | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Andorra | 30c | 67.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.48 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Andorra | 23c | 64.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.71 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +34.7wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +61%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Andorra | 20c | 62.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.28 | 197 | 13.7%27 W · 170 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Liechtenstein | 28c | 61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Andorra | 25c | 60.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | +25.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Liechtenstein | 74c | 53.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Andorra | 35c | 47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Andorra | 30c | 45.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 359 | 54%194 W · 165 L | +20.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Liechtenstein | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Liechtenstein | 55c | 28.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Liechtenstein | 67c | 27.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x698c…ddc8backed Liechtenstein | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b7…3267backed Liechtenstein | 64c | 18.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…839bbacked Liechtenstein | 76c | 14.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Andorra (-1.5)this page
- Andorra vs. Liechtenstein: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Andorra vs. Liechtenstein: O/U 0.5Over won
- Andorra vs. Liechtenstein: O/U 1.5Over won
- Andorra vs. Liechtenstein: O/U 2.5Under won
- Andorra vs. Liechtenstein: O/U 3.5Under won
- Andorra vs. Liechtenstein: O/U 4.5Under won
- Andorra vs. Liechtenstein: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Andorra (-2.5)Liechtenstein won
- Spread: Liechtenstein (-1.5)Andorra won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.