Fifa International · resolved market
Andorra vs. Liechtenstein: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7169253bc3422e2f30118f3e70215270b915204ee2b0b8bc0eb9a9580c455396
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 7c | 4,281$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.08 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 7c | 2,494$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.67 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 34c | 1,696$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.02 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 2c | 1,578$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 326 | 56.1%183 W · 143 L | +29.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 1,410$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.52 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Over | 33c | 1,275$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.48 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 18c | 1,112$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.85 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 13c | 775.11$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.76 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 66c | 771.85$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.2 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 67c | 719.42$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.61 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Over | 34c | 550$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Over | 33c | 517.54$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.79 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under | 67c | 473.5$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.69 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb143…f649backed Under | 68c | 440$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.8 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Under | 77c | 352.36$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.04 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Over | 11c | 215.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 197 | 13.7%27 W · 170 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 13c | 196.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Over | 12c | 193$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea1…a3a6backed Over | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Under | 68c | 147.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.11 | 153 | 64.7%99 W · 54 L | +13.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 66c | 128.65$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 167 | 58.7%98 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…2a51backed Over | 13c | 115.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 32c | 115.13$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Over | 14c | 107.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +34.7wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +61%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd371…d25fbacked Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23e2…9ecdbacked Under | 66c | 99.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 126 | 36.5%46 W · 80 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 34c | 99.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 72c | 83.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 15c | 80.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 33c | 76.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…a070backed Under | 77c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 27c | 57.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Over | 27c | 57.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 187 | 64.2%120 W · 67 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2333…88f8backed Over | 19c | 56.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 78c | 53.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 67c | 50.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…24aebacked Over | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 24.4%19 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 33c | 43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Under | 70c | 30.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 229 | 51.1%117 W · 112 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 68c | 26.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 67c | 26.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 235 | 52.8%124 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 75c | 20.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…cebabacked Under | 67c | 17.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 70c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Andorra vs. Liechtenstein: O/U 2.5this page
- Andorra vs. Liechtenstein: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Andorra vs. Liechtenstein: O/U 0.5Over won
- Andorra vs. Liechtenstein: O/U 1.5Over won
- Andorra vs. Liechtenstein: O/U 3.5Under won
- Andorra vs. Liechtenstein: O/U 4.5Under won
- Andorra vs. Liechtenstein: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Andorra (-1.5)Andorra won
- Spread: Andorra (-2.5)Liechtenstein won
- Spread: Liechtenstein (-1.5)Andorra won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.