Fifa International · resolved market
Andorra vs. Liechtenstein: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44c69ccab540f0eb29bf1a49ad46018e4cd6e91f6b80bbae12b27886e221ad2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 66c | 2,813$1,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.48 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 35c | 2,033$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.43 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 38c | 1,807$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.67 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 68c | 1,762$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.57 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 31c | 1,707$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.02 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5eb…93bfbacked Under | 34c | 1,088$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 914.67$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.39 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x419f…9cdcbacked Over | 68c | 679.64$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.48 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Over | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Under | 24c | 570.47$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.16 | 226 | 39.4%89 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 69c | 453.66$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.46 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 72c | 375$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.93 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Under | 28c | 353.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.38 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Over | 55c | 230$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…c691backed Over | 68c | 222.13$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.08 | 87 | 73.6%64 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 69c | 215.4$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 94 | 67%63 W · 31 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 72c | 212.55$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.55 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4571…a952backed Under | 36c | 205.56$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd371…d25fbacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 62c | 198.95$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.98 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 30c | 188.29$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 327 | 40.7%133 W · 194 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 15c | 117$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…8786backed Over | 72c | 104.21$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -5.6wins | -0.31per pick | 70cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked Under | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 135 | 48.1%65 W · 70 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8582…959fbacked Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 48c | 82.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.23 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 13c | 79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a19…2a91backed Over | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…24f3backed Over | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 158 | 45.6%72 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 57c | 61.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Under | 39c | 61.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 67c | 39.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 50c | 37.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 282 | 40.8%115 W · 167 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x554a…74d2backed Under | 53c | 35.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c40…7c34backed Over | 52c | 34.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Over | 67c | 32.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 36c | 30.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x012f…6d43backed Over | 72c | 27.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…8a5abacked Over | 65c | 25.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…2a51backed Over | 73c | 20.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Over | 73c | 20.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +34.7wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +61%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Over | 73c | 20.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | +25.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…16cfbacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46c2…927bbacked Over | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Andorra vs. Liechtenstein: O/U 0.5this page
- Andorra vs. Liechtenstein: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Andorra vs. Liechtenstein: O/U 1.5Over won
- Andorra vs. Liechtenstein: O/U 2.5Under won
- Andorra vs. Liechtenstein: O/U 3.5Under won
- Andorra vs. Liechtenstein: O/U 4.5Under won
- Andorra vs. Liechtenstein: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Andorra (-1.5)Andorra won
- Spread: Andorra (-2.5)Liechtenstein won
- Spread: Liechtenstein (-1.5)Andorra won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.