TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x698c…ddc8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: MLB, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 60 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)backed Saudi Arabia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Armenia leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Canada vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.23
Paraguay vs. Nicaragua: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Malta win on 2026-06-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Hungary vs. Finland: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Slovakia vs. Montenegro: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.75
Spread: Georgia (-1.5)backed Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Georgia leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will China PR win on 2026-06-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Singapore vs. China PR: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.74
Guatemala vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.74
Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.99
Will Slovenia vs. Cyprus end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Andorra (-1.5)backed Liechtenstein · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 18 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT7100%7 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+78.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.36per pick48cpaid+67.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick51cpaid+59.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Washington Mystics (-3.5)backed Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+72%+$8.64
Spread: Chicago Sky (-3.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$8.71
Spread: Chicago Sky (-4.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+67.3%+$8.08
Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Skybacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+114.8%+$13.77
Spread: New York Liberty (-5.5)backed New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+70%+$8.4
All 5 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$8.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OGC Nice vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.