South American Leagues · resolved market
CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadd6545ff5f655e0aafef948801671aa0c606077108e758e69d8bd326364efe4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,898
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,898 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 60c | 26,637$15,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,935.82 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Under | 10c | 11,750$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,580.05 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 69c | 5,488$3,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.21 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 4,193$2,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.63 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…3c50backed Under | 68c | 3,967$2,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.22 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…d93bbacked Under | 64c | 2,861$1,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.83 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 32c | 2,781$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.86 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 47c | 2,442$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.3 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 68c | 2,124$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.84 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 2,110$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.84 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked Over | 51c | 1,307$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.02 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 56c | 1,148$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.56 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…2b66backed Under | 54c | 1,133$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.3 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 66c | 845.39$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.5 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 18c | 614.1$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.26 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 58c | 509.9$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.45 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under | 10c | 436.36$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.63 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Over | 54c | 370.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Over | 52c | 342.81$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00e…ea73backed Over | 77c | 276.2$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6255…a29bbacked Under | 77c | 261.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 68c | 251$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.32 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4753…41adbacked Under | 11c | 214.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.85 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Over | 27c | 186.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.71 | 124 | 14.5%18 W · 106 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 78c | 173.08$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 88 | 87.5%77 W · 11 L | +19.9wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +42%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Under | 22c | 164.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.65 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…0933backed Under | 69c | 144.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 50c | 142.74$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.9 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 41c | 122.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 35c | 117.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 62c | 110.88$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 40c | 102.81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Under | 69c | 93.93$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaea…5795backed Under | 69c | 86.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 68c | 85.71$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 24c | 82.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…e961backed Over | 42c | 80.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 32c | 63.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Over | 80c | 62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…bb4ebacked Under | 55c | 59.8$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 37c | 53.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 46c | 50.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Under | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 38c | 49.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 68c | 42.49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 724 | 50.6%366 W · 358 L | -24.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Under | 76c | 42.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 42c | 41.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Under | 29c | 39.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 68c | 38.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed Over | 69c | 37.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 55c | 33.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698c…ddc8backed Over | 36c | 33.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.36per pick | 48cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf32…6cf3backed Under | 75c | 29.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 48c | 29.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec94…9053backed Under | 79c | 25.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…3419backed Under | 50c | 23.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce98…fbb1backed Over | 59c | 21.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 55c | 20.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | -16.3wins | -0.36per pick | 43cpaid | -90.1%equal weight | 24-0.23 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 78c | 17.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…d33ebacked Under | 73c | 15.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed Over | 80c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +6.2wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +93%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 3.5this page
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Barracas Central: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 1.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 2.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 4.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.