South American Leagues · resolved market
CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29611a11d5278bc1d2c18ef4a016fa4b857f0206f5d60045abd134662618fda5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,501
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,501 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 50c | 2,582$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.55 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 43c | 1,485$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.84 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 47c | 1,259$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.36 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 28c | 1,200$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Over | 48c | 1,109$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.18 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 47c | 699.99$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.8 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 44c | 608.14$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.19 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 72c | 599.26$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.46 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 544.01$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.01 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 48c | 382.32$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 34c | 375.15$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.41 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Over | 54c | 357.14$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.28 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 35c | 333.34$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 28c | 271.43$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.43 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 53c | 265.87$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.9 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 53c | 235$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.45 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Over | 41c | 217.39$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.25 | 124 | 14.5%18 W · 106 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Over | 47c | 213.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.64 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 53c | 213$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.11 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked Over | 53c | 188.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.67 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 53c | 139$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.13 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 51c | 81.42$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.71 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 47c | 71.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 43c | 58.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 28c | 53.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x564b…1e19backed Over | 44c | 41.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Under | 43c | 33.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 36c | 31.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 56c | 25.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Over | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 2.5this page
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Barracas Central: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 1.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 3.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 4.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.