South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x005db8703197e62320fd03ce1f3e70d50b97b85bd31a5ce42885bdaf04935c28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CR Vasco da Gamaof CR Vasco da Gama, CA Barracas Central
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked CR Vasco da Gama | 45c | 4,445$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,445.31 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked CA Barracas Central | 55c | 3,868$2,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,127.84 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked CR Vasco da Gama | 45c | 3,229$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.46 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed CA Barracas Central | 55c | 1,595$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed CA Barracas Central | 58c | 1,200$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.81 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked CR Vasco da Gama | 43c | 774.2$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.29 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa5…01b3backed CR Vasco da Gama | 45c | 667.02$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.02 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…72a1backed CR Vasco da Gama | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed CA Barracas Central | 54c | 496.57$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.15 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed CA Barracas Central | 55c | 460$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…172abacked CR Vasco da Gama | 42c | 306.43$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked CA Barracas Central | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked CA Barracas Central | 52c | 268.24$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.65 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked CR Vasco da Gama | 48c | 260.37$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.37 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked CA Barracas Central | 55c | 260$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked CR Vasco da Gama | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 124 | 14.5%18 W · 106 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed CA Barracas Central | 44c | 235.43$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.92 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked CR Vasco da Gama | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed CA Barracas Central | 52c | 184.22$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.05 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked CA Barracas Central | 55c | 181$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked CA Barracas Central | 55c | 173.49$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.97 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed CR Vasco da Gama | 62c | 161.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.23 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CA Barracas Central | 58c | 153.15$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.62 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed CA Barracas Central | 55c | 140$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed CR Vasco da Gama | 43c | 82.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked CA Barracas Central | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked CR Vasco da Gama | 43c | 76.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed CA Barracas Central | 55c | 61.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed CR Vasco da Gama | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed CA Barracas Central | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked CA Barracas Central | 55c | 49.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed CA Barracas Central | 60c | 49.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed CR Vasco da Gama | 79c | 29.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed CR Vasco da Gama | 72c | 28.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +11.9wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed CA Barracas Central | 55c | 27.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed CA Barracas Central | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed CA Barracas Central | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)this page
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Barracas Central: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 1.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 2.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 3.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 4.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.