TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: Chicago Sky (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Toronto Tempoof Chicago Sky, Toronto Tempo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,327
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,245

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,327 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5b36…56cebacked Chicago Sky26c1,981$524 inLost-$523.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Chicago Sky56c894.58$500 inLost-$50023049.6%114 W · 116 L-13.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Toronto Tempo56c595.45$331 inWon+$264.2410144.6%45 W · 56 L-13.5wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-25%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Tempo78c490.99$381 inWon+$109.651,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Sky52c355.85$184 inLost-$183.761,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Toronto Tempo79c262.47$207 inWon+$55.8334726.5%92 W · 255 L-20.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Toronto Tempo75c253.81$190 inWon+$63.5224852.4%130 W · 118 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x229b…331fbacked Toronto Tempo55c240.91$132 inWon+$108.41944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Toronto Tempo68c207$141 inWon+$65.6337650.3%189 W · 187 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Toronto Tempo66c191.88$128 inWon+$64.323534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Chicago Sky44c173.25$76 inLost-$75.585158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Chicago Sky42c100$42 inLost-$423847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Toronto Tempo72c62.37$45 inWon+$17.3741147%193 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2711…6fbbbacked Chicago Sky31c62$19 inLost-$19.1220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Chicago Sky42c50.19$21 inLost-$2112745.7%58 W · 69 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Toronto Tempo45c50$23 inWon+$27.532743.7%143 W · 184 L-23.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Chicago Sky57c47$27 inLost-$26.914936.9%55 W · 94 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Chicago Sky55c45.44$25 inLost-$24.9918844.1%83 W · 105 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Tempo43c44.86$19 inWon+$25.5999548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago Sky58c36.88$21 inLost-$21.3832150.2%161 W · 160 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Toronto Tempo58c31$18 inWon+$13.0226147.1%123 W · 138 L+15.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Chicago Sky49c22.83$11 inLost-$11.1910349.5%51 W · 52 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x698c…ddc8backed Toronto Tempo58c20.71$12 inWon+$8.715100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.