WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Chicago Sky (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c2b6ea26d76ac765443091fdf325eec8afb345c8912923a6ce43d6ec090f1ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Tempoof Chicago Sky, Toronto Tempo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,984
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,984 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd752…a1c5backed Chicago Sky | 46c | 6,489$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Toronto Tempo | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Chicago Sky | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 109 | 23.9%26 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Toronto Tempo | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Toronto Tempo | 53c | 1,498$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.02 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Sky | 33c | 802.28$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.92 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Sky | 47c | 567.01$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.04 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Toronto Tempo | 68c | 441$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.12 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -13.5wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Toronto Tempo | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Toronto Tempo | 53c | 279.38$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.31 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +11.1wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Toronto Tempo | 65c | 133$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Toronto Tempo | 69c | 88$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Toronto Tempo | 67c | 57.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Chicago Sky | 48c | 51.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x286c…f34ebacked Toronto Tempo | 55c | 48.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Chicago Sky | 45c | 40.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…3961backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…b257backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa02e…60d0backed Toronto Tempo | 70c | 26.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde1b…5710backed Toronto Tempo | 66c | 22.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Toronto Tempo | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-5.5)this page
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-3.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-4.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-6.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago SkyToronto Tempo won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 167.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 168.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 169.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 170.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 171.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 172.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.