WNBA · resolved market
Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 171.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa4c7ef71f06bd9b6d31ae31772d2a0c373d3a4abf01168b82ced2a7df3b8c03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,542
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,542 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Over | 55c | 399.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 48c | 230.24$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.98 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…8af3backed Over | 52c | 222.91$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Under | 45c | 221.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 47c | 208.91$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 159.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.19 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 45c | 54.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 48c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 171.5this page
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-3.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-4.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-5.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-6.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago SkyToronto Tempo won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 167.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 168.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 169.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 170.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 172.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.