WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Chicago Sky (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaeec156823f08b1917c7ca7a4ebd47ee6aa7aac8ca77945b65842a5b92548f5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Tempoof Chicago Sky, Toronto Tempo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Toronto Tempo | 54c | 9,313$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,312.89 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Chicago Sky | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.05 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Chicago Sky | 53c | 4,415$2,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,318.83 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 4,202$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.08 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Tempo | 47c | 3,410$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.97 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Chicago Sky | 43c | 2,848$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.59 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 1,941$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.3 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked Chicago Sky | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Chicago Sky | 53c | 1,406$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 858.37$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.6 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 373.93$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.58 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 365.45$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.69 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Toronto Tempo | 48c | 319.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.4 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 301.84$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.9 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Chicago Sky | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Chicago Sky | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b4…bfa2backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 199.98$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 182.88$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.25 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 174.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…b93dbacked Chicago Sky | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Chicago Sky | 53c | 140.78$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a58…f9d8backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 109$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Toronto Tempo | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…0b46backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Chicago Sky | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe31d…e7a4backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18e6…b54abacked Chicago Sky | 52c | 78.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 67.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Chicago Sky | 76c | 65.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…7a99backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2d…8a1dbacked Toronto Tempo | 24c | 55.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x286c…f34ebacked Toronto Tempo | 51c | 50.88$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 47.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…bb4ebacked Toronto Tempo | 49c | 35.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Chicago Sky | 48c | 23.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698c…ddc8backed Toronto Tempo | 60c | 20.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 19.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 19.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 19.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-4.5)this page
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-3.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-5.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-6.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago SkyToronto Tempo won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 167.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 168.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 169.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 170.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 171.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 172.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.