Asian League · resolved market
Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Shimizu S-Pulse: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa815fda4e550dd19d4b9a906efb7c7a93025f761d61193c26546574042617b19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 45c | 7,233$3,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,230.39 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 58c | 2,896$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.15 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 61c | 1,435$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.88 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…646bbacked Over | 57c | 1,300$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 32c | 531.25$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c6…52bcbacked Over | 56c | 294.45$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 71c | 241.93$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.26 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4206…f874backed Over | 69c | 200.99$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 31c | 177.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 60c | 165$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 70c | 114.2$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…4cbebacked Over | 74c | 111.27$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fb…28dabacked Over | 58c | 92.71$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc378…5e4cbacked Over | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 68c | 59.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…87bfbacked Under | 20c | 51.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -8.8wins | -0.28per pick | 59cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 66c | 51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 65c | 40.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Under | 27c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Under | 30c | 37.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Under | 30c | 36.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Over | 58c | 33.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698c…ddc8backed Over | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0e…accebacked Over | 69c | 17.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -8.5wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Shimizu S-Pulse: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Yokohama F·Marinos (-1.5)Yokohama F·Marinos won
- Spread: Yokohama F·Marinos (-2.5)Yokohama F·Marinos won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Shimizu S-Pulse: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Shimizu S-Pulse: O/U 0.5Over won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Shimizu S-Pulse: O/U 2.5Over won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Shimizu S-Pulse: O/U 3.5Under won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Shimizu S-Pulse: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.