Asian League · resolved market
Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Shimizu S-Pulse: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3501e5ed013dcd5f9b44579b5ff4c913037eb94297f943a7de7164e822f3601
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,331
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 41c | 4,605$1,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,726.33 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 3,703$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288.16 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e3…fbb2backed Over | 35c | 2,332$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.62 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 38c | 2,243$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.95 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 61c | 2,008$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.71 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 62c | 1,728$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.08 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 39c | 1,528$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.99 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…d0a8backed Under | 63c | 1,361$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.24 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 55c | 1,097$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…9136backed Under | 60c | 961.67$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 72c | 934.57$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…cc26backed Over | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…646bbacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 63c | 463.71$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.05 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…7821backed Under | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…b646backed Under | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 46c | 225.6$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.2 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…9a33backed Over | 24c | 224$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 35cpaid | +219.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 58c | 189.33$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.81 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Under | 71c | 169.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.92 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 30c | 97.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.52 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 36c | 93.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.95 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…f294backed Over | 39c | 89.71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fb…28dabacked Over | 46c | 82.61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 56c | 80.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Under | 61c | 77.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 58c | 61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…24aebacked Over | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 31c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b1…d4d4backed Under | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 29c | 53.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 42c | 53.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 53c | 52.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 56c | 50.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +11.6wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 44.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1a…312fbacked Under | 62c | 42.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +129.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 45c | 41.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 27c | 39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 202 | 56.4%114 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee99…b285backed Over | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba73…2fc0backed Over | 43c | 34.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 77c | 32.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 37c | 29.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Under | 62c | 28.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe70…bb1dbacked Under | 67c | 22.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c5…70e3backed Under | 61c | 22.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Under | 57c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Shimizu S-Pulse: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Yokohama F·Marinos (-1.5)Yokohama F·Marinos won
- Spread: Yokohama F·Marinos (-2.5)Yokohama F·Marinos won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Shimizu S-Pulse: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Shimizu S-Pulse: O/U 0.5Over won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Shimizu S-Pulse: O/U 1.5Over won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Shimizu S-Pulse: O/U 3.5Under won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Shimizu S-Pulse: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.