TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Peñarol win on 2026-05-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,029
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,494

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,029 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc974…b33bbacked No43c8,703$3,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,979.755736.8%21 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+49.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes55c7,077$3,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,908.992,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed No49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.963167.7%21 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes57c3,167$1,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,819.193,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes53c2,799$1,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,483.4742962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8d…acc4backed No40c2,204$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.044852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad58…7624backed Yes51c2,000$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0101361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes39c1,759$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.513,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes58c1,707$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.141,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No42c1,658$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.419952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed No50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes55c1,185$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.561,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes51c1,078$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9927349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No47c936$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.088643%37 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed No45c807$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.8512754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No45c765.5$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.7142250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ab7…d03cbacked Yes55c738.3$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-22.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No47c736.05$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.1133560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No47c736.05$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.1165058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed No46c700$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3782347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes51c686.25$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.9927549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No45c628$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.413545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes56c627.07$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.981,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes58c533.9$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.175,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Yes59c517.72$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.7111551.3%59 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Yes4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2048922.9%112 W · 377 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca3…f975backed No40c400$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401540%6 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes12c362.94$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1382434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1d2…be08backed Yes15c346.6$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No74c346.16$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.088,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes56c335.6$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.221,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Yes52c313$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.763836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-28.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes16c291.72$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7225044%110 W · 140 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes33c270$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.146530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xab2e…c7cfbacked No77c245.27$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.361553.3%8 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick75cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Yes51c226.47$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.52128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-29.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x3090…be73backed No48c225.46$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.24850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes55c224.47$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.751,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No49c217.61$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.981,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes58c215.99$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.842,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed No47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.772470.8%17 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+31.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No47c206.06$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.2147756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No48c199.98$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9951654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf87…cc46backed Yes56c194.6$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.986440.6%26 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0286…9648backed Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-49.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No48c179.56$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.4341654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No45c166.99$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.172,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed No43c150$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8623549.4%116 W · 119 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes17c147.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253312.1%4 W · 29 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4efc…2d8dbacked No43c145.58$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.981225%3 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-49.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked No71c140.42$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.423066.7%20 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No74c130.82$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9721640.3%87 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes13c123.88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4441145.5%187 W · 224 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0163…9aa0backed No50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f4…e4cbbacked No72c117.63$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.027061.4%43 W · 27 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes28c114$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.921,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No63c107.54$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6494848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa299…ac77backed Yes35c103.5$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3612348%59 W · 64 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed No49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517149.3%35 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked No40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6018631.2%58 W · 128 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd868…7f60backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107814.1%11 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…eee6backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed No47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535972.9%43 W · 16 L+8.0wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+22.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes56c98.66$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2870055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x628d…a012backed Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206836.8%25 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9a6…4e6dbacked No43c84.6$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.22250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Yes61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506056.7%34 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Yes61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51d5…41b8backed No65c80.24$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.043154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed No48c75$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84fd…2f81backed No40c70$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422536%9 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes22c61.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.642946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked No43c60.08$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.476823.5%16 W · 52 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302050%10 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Yes49c50.03$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.369740.2%39 W · 58 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.513839.9%55 W · 83 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9558…9579backed Yes25c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked No49c49.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.510847.2%51 W · 57 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed No44c49.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286046.7%28 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa11…7cb5backed Yes61c49.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31d6…b5c9backed Yes55c49.09$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+24.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed No68c43.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8810966.1%72 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94b9…2592backed No47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.551850%9 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4981…1c6abacked No47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60a5…f52ebacked No49c40.87$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.87666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0614…ff8bbacked No40c37.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.58555.3%47 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc0e…a1fabacked Yes54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes56c36.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4578756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No47c32.95$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4929053.8%156 W · 134 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Yes62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207841%32 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e9…b2e0backed No73c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.13100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00ec…a28ebacked Yes52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes51c25.37$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9438861.3%238 W · 150 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf508…30a5backed Yes58c25.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.763259.4%19 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcdd…c6bbbacked No40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157655.3%42 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked No60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1029245.2%132 W · 160 L-24.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3a2b…769cbacked Yes55c23.64$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+118.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x698c…ddc8backed No51c23.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.36per pick48cpaid+67.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes55c22.18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.27048.6%34 W · 36 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.