South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-05-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e184b802bd1f1ad454cb76a0751d3c23c6c225b21989196951acd443178caf2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 18c | 29,000$5,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,779.77 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 9c | 7,166$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.04 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 59c | 4,479$2,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,643.09 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 70c | 4,293$3,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.36 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 20c | 4,097$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,294.82 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…cdf1backed Yes | 15c | 1,273$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +170.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 36c | 1,200$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.24 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed No | 80c | 1,079$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.32 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…60bebacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes | 73c | 997.28$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.46 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x544f…3ca1backed Yes | 20c | 884.13$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.05 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +6.6wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Yes | 18c | 839.93$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.75 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed No | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes | 15c | 645.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.65 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd25…7d10backed Yes | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 54c | 536.19$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.52 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 66c | 517.98$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.63 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3082…9b55backed Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +136.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 20c | 399.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.98 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x748d…26e2backed No | 80c | 375$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 46c | 331.35$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.14 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e7…f7b5backed No | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 15c | 253.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.33 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 18c | 230.8$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.45 | 1,442 | 37.6%542 W · 900 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked No | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 18c | 188.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f6…663fbacked No | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed Yes | 55c | 176.1$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.98 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 17c | 174.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8b…9cd7backed Yes | 56c | 171.08$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.08 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 75c | 164.02$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 59c | 163.26$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.56 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 18c | 133.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca83…8b16backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +474.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Yes | 17c | 131.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.65 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 21c | 130.95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.45 | 78 | 14.1%11 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…19cfbacked Yes | 38c | 128.53$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.13 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Yes | 19c | 120$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Yes | 77c | 119.18$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Yes | 19c | 112$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.72 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 35c | 108.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 38c | 100.65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.65 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bf…a509backed Yes | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked No | 23c | 89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed No | 35c | 86.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…ca05backed Yes | 75c | 77.35$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 18c | 75.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.19 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…4eebbacked Yes | 41c | 75.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.57 | 107 | 67.3%72 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd2…b5c9backed Yes | 19c | 73.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 19c | 71.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 79c | 58.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.83 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…2391backed Yes | 18c | 58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +246.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes | 41c | 49.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked No | 41c | 47.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4f…e9f1backed Yes | 44c | 44.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9355…038dbacked No | 55c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 34c | 33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 80c | 32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4116…819cbacked Yes | 40c | 27.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 24cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 87 | 75.9%66 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2b…451dbacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-05-27?this page
- Will CA Peñarol vs. Independiente Santa Fe end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Peñarol win on 2026-05-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.