TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-05-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$175,765
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$182,726

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,765 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked Yes45c52,543$23,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,962.344238.1%16 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No54c46,540$24,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,910.751650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes47c27,679$12,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,731.272,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51f9…26f8backed No53c8,584$4,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,543.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes55c7,743$4,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,480.755,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed No58c7,723$4,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4721643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No51c7,231$3,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,657.5519952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes45c5,245$2,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,898.442,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8d…acc4backed No52c5,203$2,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,701.444852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed No54c4,297$2,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,331.993243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed No20c4,082$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.46927.6%7 W · 85 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-51.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Yes80c3,375$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.9310875%81 W · 27 L+16.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No54c3,356$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,820.2542250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No56c3,200$1,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,79224855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed No53c3,191$1,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6914143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No56c2,400$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,34413059.2%77 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes43c2,237$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,267.742962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes48c2,091$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.1315945.9%73 W · 86 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Yes47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06011855.1%65 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16c…a3aabacked No53c1,951$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.282875%21 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+20.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed Yes43c1,600$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9121457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No53c1,561$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.854753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No55c1,544$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.011,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95d4…3c50backed Yes65c1,449$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.413444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No56c1,400$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78416558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes46c1,332$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.243,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No54c1,262$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.4418828.7%54 W · 134 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f8e…04c4backed No54c1,245$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes58c1,200$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50499259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No56c1,200$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67224053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No55c1,184$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.212757.5%73 W · 54 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes67c1,158$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.613,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked No53c1,132$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.165844.8%26 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Yes49c1,092$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.65966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+46%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No56c1,006$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.641,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5803234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56019559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ab…b16ebacked Yes42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked No52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5204555.6%25 W · 20 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+4.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No56c920$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.222457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb01…5715backed Yes47c910.69$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.111040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Yes48c853.43$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.784544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No56c800$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44828851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No56c800$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44823056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes48c798.66$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.9765058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked Yes59c757.92$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3073756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes61c726.42$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.61,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed No53c677$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.8112754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No39c666.42$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.878,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No44c622.65$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.9112434.7%43 W · 81 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No56c600$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33624956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No56c600$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33618358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba1b…82fdbacked Yes51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.241258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x83f6…c26abacked No54c561.74$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes47c550$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.51,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No56c520$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.216559.4%98 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No56c520$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.215857.6%91 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Yes50c500.8$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.89349.5%46 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed No52c467.05$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.87650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No22c461.62$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.5382434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed Yes44c457.47$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.47560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No41c446.48$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.9721640.3%87 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes47c421$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.133831.6%12 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Yes49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.163348.5%16 W · 17 L+5.0wins+0.15per pick33cpaid+56.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes58c377.62$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.8442946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Yes48c337.5$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.51330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-40.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No56c320$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.221358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe61a…292dbacked No54c313.05$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Yes48c313$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.763836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-28.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe43…8f09backed No56c312.79$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.163366.7%22 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No56c312$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.7221657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No56c312$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.7220360.6%123 W · 80 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No29c296.43$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.6137540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No56c287.93$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.61,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes78c283.48$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.985957.6%34 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa021…d5c9backed No53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No56c280$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.822058.6%129 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No56c268$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.322,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed No18c266.51$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.971020%2 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-61.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No28c252.56$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3336339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes48c249.76$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.8833560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes54c244.56$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.520055%110 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf87…cc46backed Yes48c230$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.66440.6%26 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dc2…3fa2backed No53c216.04$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-67.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc045…92f1backed No19c210.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4060%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331275%9 W · 3 L+4.5wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+113.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xca85…7453backed Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.33955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11224257%138 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11215560%93 W · 62 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11218959.3%112 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes48c196.21$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.0317251.7%89 W · 83 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0286…9648backed Yes51c196.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.121526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-49.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed No51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016262.3%101 W · 61 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Yes51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.083066.7%20 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x27fa…d8c4backed No48c185.42$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+68.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x128e…56f6backed No54c184.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No54c180$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.641654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes53c175.67$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.961,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed No58c172.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed No54c169.49$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5217440.2%70 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.