South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-05-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf519f32ae457f77af4457521f9e233b6f7af9ba9c80ce250dd0df447d0b997f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,104
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,104 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 7,785$2,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,093.12 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 74c | 2,783$2,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.89 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ce…99f6backed No | 78c | 2,564$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 27c | 2,561$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.17 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 75c | 2,413$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.54 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 2,015$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.6 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed No | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 73c | 1,772$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.63 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…cdf1backed Yes | 24c | 1,625$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +170.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 22c | 1,591$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 74c | 1,501$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.17 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 16c | 1,448$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.83 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked No | 76c | 1,100$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 78c | 1,042$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.97 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 1,036$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.63 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 78c | 914.29$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.02 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 9c | 862.51$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.82 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 2c | 683.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 153 | 26.1%40 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes | 17c | 585.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.62 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 13c | 487.09$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.42 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…8af3backed Yes | 27c | 422.14$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.68 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47d1…7618backed No | 76c | 289.47$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.47 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Yes | 24c | 288.75$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 17c | 238.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 12c | 235.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed No | 80c | 233.3$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 23c | 230$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 23c | 199.96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 12c | 170.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…604abacked Yes | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6927…21adbacked No | 76c | 157.89$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d77…bc86backed No | 76c | 157.89$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 76c | 142.5$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0693…9679backed Yes | 18c | 138.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Yes | 20c | 124.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 12c | 112$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf2…31f0backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 104$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 21c | 97.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef66…e6c8backed Yes | 24c | 83.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 17c | 83.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 74c | 76.73$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 26c | 55.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 79c | 45.49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes | 23c | 43.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd2…b5c9backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fc…b1fbbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…30a5backed No | 77c | 38.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b10…4629backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 74c | 26.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 77c | 25.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 77c | 16.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-05-27?this page
- Will Independiente del Valle vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?No won
- Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-05-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.