TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Slovenia vs. Cyprus end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,556
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,658

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,556 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No46c12,732$5,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,839.781,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No67c8,655$5,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,790.642,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes39c5,630$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,410.294,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No1c4,429$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.764,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes31c2,935$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,034.684738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes37c2,500$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,57517569.1%121 W · 54 L+14.4wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes68c2,009$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.43,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes21c2,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,58030431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed No79c2,000$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,58013351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed No79c2,000$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,579.9711654.3%63 W · 53 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No58c1,692$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.192,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes30c1,635$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.0226534%90 W · 175 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ea7…0607backed Yes21c1,600$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2641650%8 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Yes29c1,528$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08561750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes32c1,462$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.991,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes33c1,408$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.1441451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes33c1,408$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.1435549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes32c1,184$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.8842541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No45c1,097$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.792,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes37c1,032$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.4593542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No21c1,025$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.7474034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8640…cdf1backed Yes22c909.09$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.0911135.1%39 W · 72 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No20c827.27$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.2717513.7%24 W · 151 L-19.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-69.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No43c693.31$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.1221630.1%65 W · 151 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes37c664.22$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.5287651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes34c559.71$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.7116131.7%51 W · 110 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19021166.4%140 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes21c462.29$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.218,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Yes22c454.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.776839.7%27 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes71c422.77$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7756151%286 W · 275 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f7c…7a19backed No48c404.14$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.0618943.4%82 W · 107 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e1e…2a7dbacked Yes52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.621643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe9d…743dbacked Yes71c371.1$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.18955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7b0…9178backed No80c342.22$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.52642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No19c334.69$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9730117.9%54 W · 247 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes21c292.95$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.491,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d4…c002backed Yes65c290.85$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.82045%9 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-29%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.781,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Yes39c276.82$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.1963151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Yes37c272.06$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.5918764.2%120 W · 67 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes37c263.51$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.019456.4%53 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No79c257.41$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.453,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd492…7469backed Yes69c250.09$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.536259.7%37 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Yes21c240$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.623732.1%76 W · 161 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes22c227.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.2717835.4%63 W · 115 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes45c221.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.9612241%50 W · 72 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes50c190$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9545248.9%221 W · 231 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No78c188.88$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.333,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed No79c186.73$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.5224448.4%118 W · 126 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd64d…28a6backed No62c173.11$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.158445.2%38 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No62c160.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7427745.1%125 W · 152 L-19.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x58e4…3876backed Yes21c152.38$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.3811749.6%58 W · 59 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes53c143.86$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.0427538.5%106 W · 169 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef2c…227dbacked Yes77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.871457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No77c126.96$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.261,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes21c119.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.0551429.4%151 W · 363 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes37c112.91$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.131,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b62…1fe9backed Yes22c111.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.371625%4 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+116.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes20c104.81$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.2410539%41 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c11…ef93backed Yes77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed No54c99.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5424533.9%83 W · 162 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf23a…df6fbacked Yes50c99.19$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.051947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No16c96.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2345947.7%219 W · 240 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8277…dce0backed Yes33c90.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9123633.9%80 W · 156 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c92…c646backed Yes34c88.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.246050%30 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c10…5d44backed Yes36c83.51$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.513943.6%17 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes21c78.49$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1568141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26ca…da6abacked No62c74.22$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.026958%40 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b81…88e7backed Yes76c68.01$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0911852.5%62 W · 56 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No32c64.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.912,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Yes21c64.9$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2784751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd014…c792backed Yes62c64.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.524259.5%25 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf316…1e44backed Yes32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.53327.3%9 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No79c61.34$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.463,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Yes33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6143246.8%202 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddcb…1815backed Yes70c60.53$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.166058.3%35 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe040…824fbacked No76c60$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.315947.8%76 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd32c…a4c2backed No38c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.057352.1%38 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes21c60$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.41,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes51c57.16$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9745039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed No39c56.56$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0669744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96ce…9c25backed Yes59c55.72$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.725749.1%28 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No80c54$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.228162.6%176 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aa7…736ebacked Yes64c53.13$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1322746.3%105 W · 122 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bf…5a8abacked Yes77c52.12$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.12450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No70c49.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359838.8%38 W · 60 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-31%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xec25…dec6backed Yes22c48$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.441942.1%8 W · 11 L-3.9wins-0.21per pick63cpaid-22.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2605…6b1bbacked No77c46.29$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.644367.4%29 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked No80c43.73$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9827154.6%148 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24bc…509fbacked Yes47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.553167.7%21 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked No79c41.41$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.719463.8%60 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No80c41$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.828554.4%155 W · 130 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed Yes72c39.5$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.977163.4%45 W · 26 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No80c35.78$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6265651.7%339 W · 317 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa119…4045backed Yes47c34.91$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Yes37c34.19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6970948.9%347 W · 362 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a19…2a91backed Yes36c33.33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.331850%9 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f15…a670backed No75c33.12$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519069.5%132 W · 58 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8951…dfcfbacked No78c33$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.749854.1%53 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85a9…30bcbacked No79c33$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.07742.9%3 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.29per pick72cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.