TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Guatemala vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,502
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,662

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,502 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6982…a165backed Under68c5,095$3,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,451.061338.5%5 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.27per pick66cpaid-45%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over43c3,632$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,082.2245428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over40c3,621$1,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,156.443,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over42c2,392$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,388.0859230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Over42c1,593$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.5913843.5%60 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over37c1,522$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.232,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under48c1,262$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.8812146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under58c1,157$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.064,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over36c1,000$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64243826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57077845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over40c988.15$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.1589443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under59c743.59$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.7276551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Under59c599.65$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.7914051.4%72 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over46c578.23$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.574,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cef…71b4backed Under48c520.83$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Under59c499.99$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29533555.5%186 W · 149 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Over46c486.83$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.8417442%73 W · 101 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over37c478.59$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.9787651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under63c473.38$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.231,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under64c465.98$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.2341451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under60c451.48$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.8941857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ee…45cebacked Over40c400$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.623125.8%8 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-33.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Under61c393.44$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2408941.6%37 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under59c370.09$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.931,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over39c366.57$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.061,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under58c360.25$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9884844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over52c355.77$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.7724242.6%103 W · 139 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over41c338.54$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.7438439.8%153 W · 231 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under62c322.6$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016153.4%86 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under60c315$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.123,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17719026.3%50 W · 140 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under58c272.47$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.293,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under45c251.31$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.619744.2%87 W · 110 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6003…ce41backed Under51c246.55$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.74666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+26.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa90d…ef0ebacked Under51c244.24$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.564057.5%23 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4924…8fc6backed Over50c235.04$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.527949.4%39 W · 40 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Over69c208.53$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.533177.4%24 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over40c204$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.4113643.4%59 W · 77 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under59c200.01$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.4824448.4%118 W · 126 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0354…2913backed Over41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1181478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+54.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1de9…9499backed Over55c178.33$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.336437.5%24 W · 40 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Over76c169.53$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5920186.1%173 W · 28 L+46.2wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+49.1%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Over21c152.38$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.3816231.5%51 W · 111 L-13.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x95fa…bf35backed Under59c152.3$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.991931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Over21c139.61$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.6132740.7%133 W · 194 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93aa…5270backed Under47c136.34$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid+18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over33c120.35$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.6325865.9%170 W · 88 L+40.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+54.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over42c120.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.0419746.2%91 W · 106 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over39c111.9$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.2635658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Under20c107.55$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.268817%15 W · 73 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under60c104$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9241344.1%182 W · 231 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Over25c104$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7816325.8%42 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under49c101.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5051514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.331,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6025727.2%70 W · 187 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5250450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd17f…92d8backed Over48c98.5$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.22757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Over41c90.24$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2452441.4%217 W · 307 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…6516backed Over50c88.01$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x388e…24ecbacked Under74c86.63$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb82…0675backed Over40c86.1$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.258750.6%44 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under58c85.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.222,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over41c82.93$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9382340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under58c80.3$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5718435.3%65 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x866c…19c0backed Under51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4024849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under59c77.98$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.011,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under58c75.41$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.741,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Over41c73.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.161,20632.7%394 W · 812 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over36c64.25$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.123,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x276d…ea8fbacked Under80c62.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505865.5%38 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3016437.2%61 W · 103 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under59c59.32$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3511253.6%60 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…33acbacked Over55c58.18$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.18683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+44.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under64c55.56$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.562,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadcb…c2bebacked Over36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.569532.6%31 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd371…d25fbacked Over55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.551258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Under60c52.96$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6731550.8%160 W · 155 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6859…f7c2backed Over38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.632958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed Over40c49.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9924840.3%100 W · 148 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under60c49.49$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6983153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc220…5012backed Over41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7829636.1%107 W · 189 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7815247.4%72 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over41c47.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.971,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a3a…1ff8backed Under59c44.07$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610241.2%42 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb90…c03dbacked Over51c43.65$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.394944.9%22 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4571…a952backed Under50c42.58$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.293850%19 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf9c…f77dbacked Under48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9808…5cfdbacked Under75c40.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015062.7%94 W · 56 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Over40c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.91,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x672d…97f1backed Over56c35.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5110643.4%46 W · 60 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+44.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7885…1173backed Over40c35.48$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2311450.9%58 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under57c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9593542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa402…d14bbacked Under62c33.74$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.814653.4%78 W · 68 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x135a…2ea7backed Under62c33.71$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under56c32.4$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.363151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee84…becbbacked Under61c30.97$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8911448.2%55 W · 59 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.424257.9%140 W · 102 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f9c…305dbacked Over41c29.27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.273246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Under58c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.554859.5%326 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x698c…ddc8backed Under60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151850%9 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.